Inverness CT sit 7th in the Championship on 10 points from 8 matches, having scored 9 and conceded 9 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.47 in attack and 2.27 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.12: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently beating Morton 2-0 at home. That is 1.25 points a match, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13 per game across 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 12 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Stenhousemuir in the Championship on 10 October 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | +10 | WWWWW | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | +6 | LWWDL | 14 |
| 3 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | +5 | LLWDW | 13 |
| 4 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | +3 | DDWLD | 12 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | LWDWW | 12 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | WDLLW | 11 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | LLWDW | 10 |
| 8 | Ayr Utd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | DLLWL | 8 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | DWLLL | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | DLLLL | 1 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Inverness CT sit 7 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-0Morton25 September 2026
- D2-2away to Livingston19 September 2026
- W3-1away to Ayr Utd12 September 2026
- L0-2Raith Rovers5 September 2026
- L1-3away to Stenhousemuir29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT host Stenhousemuir at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness on 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Inverness CT, 30% draw and 40% Stenhousemuir, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.05 expected goals for Inverness CT against 1.39. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
Recent meetings with Stenhousemuir
- 29 August 2026Stenhousemuir 3–1 Inverness CTChampionship
- 11 April 2026Stenhousemuir 1–1 Inverness CTLeague One
- 21 February 2026Inverness CT 1–1 StenhousemuirLeague One
- 27 January 2026Inverness CT 1–0 StenhousemuirChallenge Cup
- 20 December 2025Stenhousemuir 1–0 Inverness CTLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.