UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik

Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar

The model makes it 75% Zrinjski, 14% draw, 11% Valur Reykjavik — fair odds of 1.33, 7.14 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).

Expected goals: Zrinjski 2.95, Valur Reykjavik 1.09.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

63%
Both teams to score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 8%3-1 8%2-0 8%

Head-to-head: Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik

  • 23 July 2026Valur Reykjavik 1–0 ZrinjskiUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Zrinjski the highest probability at 75%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.95 expected goals for Zrinjski against 1.09 for Valur Reykjavik. Zrinjski's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/2.23 for Valur Reykjavik.