UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Panathinaikos vs Paks

Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens

The model makes it 26% Panathinaikos, 20% draw, 54% Paks — fair odds of 3.85, 5.00 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (9%).

Expected goals: Panathinaikos 1.58, Paks 2.31.

Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%, under 2.5: 25%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

72%

Both teams to score

75%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-2 9%1-1 8%2-2 7%

Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Paks

23 July 2026Paks 1–2 PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Paks the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for Panathinaikos against 2.31 for Paks. Panathinaikos's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.67 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.99/1.25 for Paks.