30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Nordsjaelland vs Gais UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Right to Dream Park, Farum
Full time6 0

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 6-0 Gais.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% FC Nordsjaelland, 19% draw, 17% Gais — fair odds of 1.56, 5.26 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 64% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
Oskar Ågren
Caleb Yirenkyi
9'
R. Norheimassist: V. Berthelsen
11'
O. Agren (OG)
14'
H. Rasmussen
36'
46'
🔁M. Anderssonout: S. Jorgensen
R. Norheimassist: N. Rojkjaer
59'
P. Amoako
63'
🔁T. Salquistout: S. Acquah
64'
64'
🔁O. Petterssonout: R. Niklasson
64'
🔁S. Salterout: N. Vasic
🔁P. Amoakoout: I. Adel
65'
🔁R. Norheimout: V. Gustafsen
65'
🔁J. Janssenout: M. Heyde
65'
Peter Ankersen
70'
73'
🔁R. Thorkelssonout: H. Sletsjoe
73'
🔁M. de Brienneout: R. Wendin Thomasson
77'
August Wängberg
🔁V. Berthelsenout: M. Brink
77'
N. Rojkjaer
81'
Stephen Acquah
82'
83'
William Milovanovic

Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs Gais

57%Possession43%
22Shots10
10On target2
2Corners1

Line-ups

FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 2P. AnkersenD
  • 3T. SalquistD
  • 36C. YirenkyiD
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 18J. JanssenM
  • 8N. RojkjaerM
  • 25J. LahteenmakiM
  • 40H. Rasmussen
  • 29V. BerthelsenF
  • 10P. AmoakoF
Substitutes
  • 31A. SondenbroeG
  • 48C. KristoffersenG
  • 9O. SolbakkenF
  • 14I. AdelF
  • 39D. JohannessonM
  • 32V. GustafsenD
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 47M. HeydeM
  • 37L. SadioM
Coach: Jens Olsen
Gais 4-3-3
  • 1M. KrasniqiG
  • 6A. WangbergD
  • 22A. CardaklijaD
  • 4O. AgrenD
  • 2M. de BrienneD
  • 8W. MilovanovicM
  • 7J. FagerjordM
  • 17R. ThorkelssonM
  • 16M. AnderssonF
  • 20S. SalterF
  • 32O. PetterssonF
Substitutes
  • 13K. SimsG
  • 30A. TihicG
  • 12R. FrejD
  • 34D. CollanderM
  • 10H. SletsjoeM
  • 11R. NiklassonF
  • 24F. BeckmanD
  • 28L. HedlundF
  • 21N. VasicF
Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Gais

FC Nordsjaelland

  • D1-1away to AC Horsens26 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Gais23 July 2026

Gais

  • D1-1Halmstad26 July 2026
  • W1-0FC Nordsjaelland23 July 2026
  • L0-2away to AIK Stockholm18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

FC Nordsjaelland and Gais in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
3FC NordsjaellandSuperliga8521136+717
10GaisAllsvenskan217682520+527

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Superliga · Allsvenskan

Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Gais

  • 30 July 2026FC Nordsjaelland 4–0 GaisUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Gais 1–0 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Gais

FC Nordsjaelland

  • H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists

Gais

  • S. Salter6 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.