23 July 2026, 19:15 UTC

Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Hlídarendi Reykjavik, Reykjavik
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Valur Reykjavik 1-0 Zrinjski.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Valur Reykjavik, 38% draw, 43% Zrinjski — fair odds of 5.26, 2.63 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zrinjski at 43% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Shkelzen Veseli
32'
56'
🔁A. Nalicout: I. Vidovic
⚽T. Haraldssonassist: J. Jonsson
64'
🔁L. Heimissonout: M. Nakkim
66'
🔁S. Veseliout: B. Antonsson
66'
🔁B. Heimissonout: P. Pedersen
66'
🔁D. Gardarsonout: J. Palsson
66'
69'
🔁M. Vranjkovicout: V. Grbic
69'
🔁A. Ilicout: K. Abramovic
Jakob Franz Pálsson
79'
84'
🔁N. Bilbijaout: T. Juric
84'
🔁M. Cuzeout: M. Sakota
🔁A. Skoglundout: E. Sigurbjornsson
87'

Line-ups

Valur Reykjavik 4-2-3-1
  • 1Frederik SchramG
  • 22Birkir HeimissonM
  • 15Hólmar Örn EyjólfssonD
  • 28Samúel Kári FriðjónssonM
  • 24Myles VeldmanD
  • 17Lúkas Logi HeimissonM
  • 14Albin SkoglundM
  • 8Jónatan Ingi JónssonM
  • 29Shkelzen VeseliM
  • 12Tryggvi Hrafn HaraldssonM
  • 19Dagur Orri GardarsonF
Substitutes
  • 4Markus NakkimD
  • 21Jakob Franz PálssonD
  • 6Bjarni Antonsson DuffieldM
  • 9Patrick PedersenF
  • 26Emil Nonnu SigurbjornssonM
  • 25Stefan Thor AgustssonG
  • 95Tomas Blöndal-PeterssonG
  • 11Ingimar Torbjornsson StoleD
  • 5Kristófer Dagur ArnarssonM
Coach: Hermann Hreidarsson
Zrinjski 4-2-3-1
  • 31Zvonimir ŠubarićG
  • 19Marko VranjkovićD
  • 4Hrvoje BarišićD
  • 37Darick Kobie MorrisD
  • 15Karlo StapićD
  • 20Antonio IvančićM
  • 10Mario ČuićM
  • 17Antonio IlićM
  • 22Adi NalićM
  • 25Mario ĆužeM
  • 99Nemanja BilbijaF
Substitutes
  • 8Ivica VidovićM
  • 21Viktor GrbićD
  • 77Karlo AbramovićM
  • 14Matej ŠakotaM
  • 11Tomi JurićF
  • 1Matej BogdanG
  • 44Antonio ĐakovićG
  • 12Petar MamićD
  • 27Slobodan JakovljevićD
Coach: Simon Rozman

Head-to-head: Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski

  • 23 July 2026Valur Reykjavik 1–0 ZrinjskiUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.