30 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

Valletta FC vs Raków Częstochowa UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Centenary Stadium
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Valletta FC 0-4 Raków Częstochowa.

Before kick-off the model made it 14% Valletta FC, 20% draw, 66% Raków Częstochowa — fair odds of 7.14, 5.00 and 1.52. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Valletta FC (23 Jul) →

Raków Częstochowa went through 7–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Raków Częstochowa at 66% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Valletta FC0%Draw1%Raków Częstochowa99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽M. Ameyawassist: A. Molnar
31'
⚽T. Pienko
Thaylor
39'
Sava Radić
45+1'
🔁Thaylorout: A. Zammit
46'
Petar Sekulović
53'
54'
⚽A. Molnar
🔁Alex Tanqueout: B. Gomes
58'
🔁R. Prsaout: K. Ewurum
58'
58'
🔁A. Molnarout: O. Kwiatkowski
58'
🔁J. C. Silvaout: J. Jendryka
Petar Sekulović
60'
Petar Sekulović
60'
🔁M. Morelloout: M. Ellul
67'
67'
🔁O. Repkaout: O. Abraham
68'
🔁T. Pienkoout: M. Emreli
68'
🔁M. Ameyawout: E. Otieno
🔁S. Radicout: N. Micallef
78'
78'
⚽P. Makuchassist: O. Kwiatkowski
87'
Fran Tudor

Line-ups

Valletta FC 4-4-2
  • 90Maringa Adilson
  • 55S. Radic
  • 33E. Mbende
  • 4E. BicakcicD
  • 94M. MorelloD
  • 23P. SekulovicM
  • 10B. PaiberM
  • 21R. PrsaM
  • 19D. TavaresF
  • 77ThaylorF
  • 32Alex Tanque
Substitutes
  • 13L. FrendoG
  • 1J. ArchibaldG
  • 3M. EllulD
  • 5S. ChetcutiF
  • 8A. ZammitF
  • 9B. GomesF
  • 11J. AzzopardiM
  • 28M. P. GrechF
  • 31Z. FormosaM
Coach: Thane Micallef
Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
  • 1K. TrelowskiG
  • 7F. TudorD
  • 77D. G. Debohi
  • 2J. NapierajM
  • 20J. C. SilvaM
  • 10V. KocherginM
  • 6O. RepkaM
  • 19M. AmeyawM
  • 88A. Molnar
  • 9P. MakuchF
  • 21T. PienkoM
Substitutes
  • 29W. ZolneczkoG
  • 71T. KaricG
  • 5M. BulatM
  • 11M. EmreliF
  • 15O. KwiatkowskiM
  • 17J. JendrykaM
  • 22O. Abraham
  • 25B. RacovitanD
  • 26E. OtienoM
Coach: Dawid Kroczek

Form going into Valletta FC vs Raków Częstochowa

Valletta FC

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Raków Częstochowa23 July 2026

Raków Częstochowa

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Wisla Plock26 July 2026
  • W3-1Valletta FC23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Valletta FC vs Raków Częstochowa

  • 23 July 2026Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Valletta FCUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Valletta FC and Raków Częstochowa

Valletta FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Raków Częstochowa

GoalsAssists

  • P. Makuch61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Raków Częstochowa won 4–0 at Valletta FC. The model had made a win for Raków Częstochowa its most likely outcome, at 66%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: M. Ameyaw 22' for Raków Częstochowa, T. Pienko 31' for Raków Częstochowa, A. Molnar 54' for Raków Częstochowa, P. Makuch 78' for Raków Częstochowa. Sent off: Petar Sekulović (Valletta FC) 60'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.