UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

Valletta FC vs Raków Częstochowa

Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali

Full time0 – 4

Final score: Valletta FC 0-4 Raków Częstochowa.

Before kick-off the model made it 15% Valletta FC, 20% draw, 65% Raków Częstochowa — fair odds of 6.67, 5.00 and 1.54. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (10%).

Expected goals: Valletta FC 0.95, Raków Częstochowa 2.19.

Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

55%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines0-2 10%1-2 10%1-1 9%

Head-to-head: Valletta FC vs Raków Częstochowa

30 July 2026Valletta FC 0–2 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference League
23 July 2026Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Valletta FCUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Raków Częstochowa the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.95 expected goals for Valletta FC against 2.19 for Raków Częstochowa. Valletta FC's attack/defence rating is 0.41/2.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.23 for Raków Częstochowa.