UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF

Lotto Park, Anderlecht

The model makes it 66% Anderlecht, 18% draw, 16% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 1.52, 5.56 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Anderlecht 2.53, Hammarby FF 1.19.

Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

64%
Both teams to score
72%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 9%3-1 8%2-0 8%

Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF

  • 23 July 2026Hammarby FF 1–1 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Anderlecht the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.53 expected goals for Anderlecht against 1.19 for Hammarby FF. Anderlecht's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.76 for Hammarby FF.