Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Anderlecht 3-1 Hammarby FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Anderlecht, 21% draw, 18% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 1.64, 4.76 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Hammarby FF 1–1 Anderlecht (23 Jul) →
Anderlecht went through 4–2 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Anderlecht at 61% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF
Line-ups
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 27L. PetrotD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 61K. NgaM
- 55M. KanaD
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 49J. Onia SekeM
- 14D. SikanF
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 2Z. Keita
- 5M. N'DiayeD
- 9M. Cvetkovic
- 21C. S. Huerta ValeraM
- 29M. StroeykensM
- 50K. BarryD
- 53N. CobiellaF
- 62B. VroninksD
- 1W. HahnG
- 2H. SkoglundD
- 4V. ErikssonD
- 3F. WintherD
- 16N. PerssonD
- 5T. TekieM
- 8M. KarlssonM
- 26M. MadjedM
- 11O. JohanssonM
- 9V. LindM
- 7P. AbrahamF
- 25E. OpancarG
- 27F. JakobssonG
- 6I. FofanaD
- 15O. Hagen
- 17A. BoudriM
- 20N. BesaraM
- 22W. Lindberg
- 24W. ReneckeD
- 28F. AdjeiM
Form going into Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF
Anderlecht
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026
Hammarby FF
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to IF Brommapojkarna26 July 2026
- D1-1Anderlecht23 July 2026
- W4-0Degerfors IF19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Anderlecht and Hammarby FF in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 54 | 21 | +33 | 52 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Allsvenskan
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF
- 23 July 2026Hammarby FF 1–1 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and Hammarby FF
Anderlecht
GoalsAssists
- M. CvetkoviÄ20
Hammarby FF
GoalsAssists
- P. Abraham153
- V. Lind1012
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Anderlecht beat Hammarby FF 3–1. The model had made a win for Anderlecht its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: P. Abraham 2' for Hammarby FF, D. Sikan 47' for Anderlecht, M. Cvetkovic 81' for Anderlecht, T. Degreef 89' for Anderlecht.