30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Anderlecht 3-1 Hammarby FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Anderlecht, 21% draw, 18% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 1.64, 4.76 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Anderlecht at 61% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Anderlecht99%Draw1%Hammarby FF0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽P. Abraham
27'
P. Abraham
🔁L. Augustinssonout: M. N'Diaye
46'
🔁K. Ngaout: M. Cvetkovic
46'
⚽D. Sikanassist: A. Maamar
47'
55'
V. Eriksson
M. Cvetkovic
65'
J. Onia Seke
66'
66'
🔁P. Abrahamout: A. Boudri
66'
🔁M. Madjedout: N. Besara
🔁J. Onia Sekeout: A. Bertaccini
68'
73'
M. Karlsson
76'
🔁V. Lindout: I. Fofana
76'
🔁O. Johanssonout: E. Kabore
⚽M. Cvetkovic
81'
🔁D. Sikanout: T. Degreef
84'
87'
🔁V. Erikssonout: F. Adjei
⚽T. Degreef
89'
🔁L. Ambrosout: Z. Keita
90+2'

Match stats — Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF

21Shots6
6On target3
10Corners0

Line-ups

Anderlecht 4-4-2
  • 26C. CoosemansG
  • 79A. MaamarD
  • 27L. PetrotD
  • 4G. BianconeD
  • 6L. AugustinssonD
  • 61K. NgaM
  • 55M. KanaD
  • 24E. LlansanaM
  • 18L. AmbrosM
  • 49J. Onia SekeM
  • 14D. SikanF
Substitutes
  • 32J. HeekerenG
  • 2Z. Keita
  • 5M. N'DiayeD
  • 9M. Cvetkovic
  • 21C. S. Huerta ValeraM
  • 29M. StroeykensM
  • 50K. BarryD
  • 53N. CobiellaF
  • 62B. VroninksD
Coach: Vitor Bruno
Hammarby FF 4-2-3-1
  • 1W. HahnG
  • 2H. SkoglundD
  • 4V. ErikssonD
  • 3F. WintherD
  • 16N. PerssonD
  • 5T. TekieM
  • 8M. KarlssonM
  • 26M. MadjedM
  • 11O. JohanssonM
  • 9V. LindM
  • 7P. AbrahamF
Substitutes
  • 25E. OpancarG
  • 27F. JakobssonG
  • 6I. FofanaD
  • 15O. Hagen
  • 17A. BoudriM
  • 20N. BesaraM
  • 22W. Lindberg
  • 24W. ReneckeD
  • 28F. AdjeiM
Coach: Kalle Karlsson

Form going into Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF

Anderlecht

  • D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026

Hammarby FF

  • D1-1away to IF Brommapojkarna26 July 2026
  • D1-1Anderlecht23 July 2026
  • W4-0Degerfors IF19 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Anderlecht and Hammarby FF in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
7AnderlechtJupiler Pro League631245-110
3Hammarby FFAllsvenskan2112454820+2840

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Jupiler Pro League · Allsvenskan

Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF

  • 23 July 2026Hammarby FF 1–1 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Anderlecht and Hammarby FF

Anderlecht

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Hammarby FF

  • P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
  • V. Lind9 goals11 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.