Yunnan Yukun
vs
Chengdu Better City
Super League prediction & result
Final score: Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Chengdu Better City.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Yunnan Yukun, 23% draw, 28% Chengdu Better City — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Yunnan Yukun 2.00, Chengdu Better City 1.48.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Yunnan Yukun
- L2-3away to Tianjin Teda1 August 2026
- W4-3Sichuan Jiuniu26 July 2026
- D2-2SHANGHAI SIPG17 July 2026
- L3-4away to Shandong Luneng10 July 2026
Chengdu Better City
- D1-1Wuhan Three Towns1 August 2026
- D2-2Beijing Guoan26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Qingdao Youth Island17 July 2026
- D1-1Chongqing Tongliang Long11 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | +2 | 31 |
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | +20 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Yunnan Yukun
- O. Maritu16 goals6 assists
Chengdu Better City
- Felipe12 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Yunnan Yukun the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2 expected goals for Yunnan Yukun against 1.48 for Chengdu Better City. Yunnan Yukun's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.58 for Chengdu Better City.