Dalian Zhixing
vs
Shenyang Urban
Super League prediction & result
Final score: Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Shenyang Urban.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Dalian Zhixing, 20% draw, 27% Shenyang Urban — fair odds of 1.89, 5.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Dalian Zhixing 2.41, Shenyang Urban 1.70.
Both teams to score: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%, under 2.5: 22%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Dalian Zhixing
- D1-1away to Henan Jianye31 July 2026
- L2-3away to Hangzhou Greentown26 July 2026
- W3-1Shandong Luneng18 July 2026
- W3-2Wuhan Three Towns4 July 2026
Shenyang Urban
- W3-1Shanghai Shenhua2 August 2026
- L0-1Qingdao Youth Island25 July 2026
- D1-1away to Beijing Guoan17 July 2026
- W3-1Chongqing Tongliang Long4 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Shenyang Urban | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Dalian Zhixing
No league goals recorded yet.
Shenyang Urban
- G. Mbenza9 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dalian Zhixing the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.41 expected goals for Dalian Zhixing against 1.7 for Shenyang Urban. Dalian Zhixing's attack/defence rating is 0.63/2.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/2.02 for Shenyang Urban.