Qingdao Jonoon
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Qingdao Jonoon, 22% draw, 59% Shanghai Shenhua — fair odds of 5.26, 4.55 and 1.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Qingdao Jonoon 1.09, Shanghai Shenhua 2.02.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Qingdao Jonoon
- L0-2away to Qingdao Youth Island2 August 2026
- L0-2Tianjin Teda25 July 2026
- L1-5away to Henan Jianye17 July 2026
- L2-3away to Hangzhou Greentown14 July 2026
Shanghai Shenhua
- L1-3away to Shenyang Urban2 August 2026
- L0-2away to SHANGHAI SIPG25 July 2026
- L0-2Tianjin Teda18 July 2026
- W3-2Hangzhou Greentown5 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 |
| 13 | Shanghai Shenhua | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 34 | +4 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Qingdao Jonoon
No league goals recorded yet.
Shanghai Shenhua
- Rafael Ratão13 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Shanghai Shenhua the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.09 expected goals for Qingdao Jonoon against 2.02 for Shanghai Shenhua. Qingdao Jonoon's attack/defence rating is 0.36/2.83 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.6 for Shanghai Shenhua.