NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica HNL prediction & result
Final score: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HNK Gorica.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, 26% draw, 32% HNK Gorica — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12J. PosavecG
- 23M. VesovicD
- 5T. JukicD
- 4A. TriantafyllouD
- 17M. PajacD
- 10M. SuboticM
- 7D. VukovicM
- 8I. KaticM
- 29J. VasiljM
- 11M. SusakM
- 24M. MaricF
- 32L. SavatovicG
- 9L. BelcarM
- 20K. CabrajicD
- 21T. KralevskiD
- 22M. AntunovicF
- 14M. LorberM
- 6F. FetaiM
- 27N. GodecD
- 30D. ReicM
- 71D. MatijasG
- 45S. PericD
- 32J. FilipovicD
- 34I. CvijanovicD
- 2F. BrautM
- 66J. FriganM
- 36A. KaveljM
- 25B. BogojevicM
- 4K. CustovicF
- 24D. PavicicF
- 9P. MijicF
- 30D. ZarkovG
- 1R. JosipovicG
- 99M. GashiF
- 18B. KardumF
- 7O. BakicM
- 26K. CaroleF
- 21H. I. Moustapha
- 20L. VrzicF
- 14S. KucisM
Form going into NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Istra 19611 August 2026
HNK Gorica
All competitions we cover
- L0-2NK Osijek1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
- 17 April 2026HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 6 February 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–0 HNK GoricaHNL
- 3 November 2025HNK Gorica 4–1 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 16 August 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–3 HNK GoricaHNL
- 24 May 2025HNK Gorica 0–3 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
Leading scorers: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
GoalsAssists
- D. Vuković32
HNK Gorica
GoalsAssists
- B. Bogojević40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb beat HNK Gorica 3–1. The model had made a win for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Maric 12' for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, A. Kavelj (own goal) 40' for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, B. Bogojevic 60' for HNK Gorica, N. Djurkovic 90' for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. On expected goals it finished 1.13–1.52.