Chinese Super League predictions

13 matches ahead, from 9 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Shanghai Shenhua, 48% against Yunnan Yukun. 1 is marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Friday 9 October — 3 matches

11:35 UTC Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan — model 27% / 26% / 47%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 3.85 · 2.13.
11:35 UTC Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — model 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.45 · 3.03.
12:00 UTC Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03.

Saturday 10 October — 2 matches

11:35 UTC Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun — model 48% / 23% / 29%, most likely 3-2, fair odds 2.08 · 4.35 · 3.45.
11:35 UTC Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda — model 46% / 28% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.57 · 3.85.

Sunday 11 October — 3 matches

10:00 UTC Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing — model 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.33 · 3.70.
11:35 UTC Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns — model 41% / 26% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.85 · 3.03.
11:35 UTC Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng — model 34% / 29% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.45 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach

Friday 16 October — 1 match

11:35 UTC Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda — model 38% / 30% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.33 · 3.13.

Saturday 17 October — 4 matches

11:00 UTC Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57.
11:35 UTC Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03.
11:35 UTC Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85.
12:00 UTC Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown — model 44% / 25% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 4.00 · 3.23.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

12 September: the model called the result of 1 of 2 matches.

Tianjin Teda 1–0 Shenyang Urban — the model said 59% / 23% / 18%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Henan Jianye — the model said 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-0: result missed.