Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys Super League prediction & result
Final score: Lausanne 2-2 BSC Young Boys.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Lausanne, 19% draw, 56% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 4.00, 5.26 and 1.79.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
BSC Young Boys at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 90Melvin MastilG
- 6Theo BergvallD
- 14Kevin MouangaD
- 71Abdou Karim SowD
- 18Morgan PoatyD
- 10Olivier CustodioM
- 8Jamie RocheM
- 80Sekou KoneM
- 2Brandon SoppyF
- 78Omar JannehF
- 91Florent MolletF
- 51Ibrahim Bah MendesF
- 11Nathan Butler-OyedejiF
- 49Ilija DespotovicF
- 1Thomas CastellaG
- 3Tyler FredricsonD
- 5Dircssi NgonzoD
- 48Eren Batuhan OzcanM
- 17Seydou TraoreF
- 1Marvin KellerG
- 27Lewin BlumD
- 5Gregory WüthrichD
- 15Cedric ZesigerD
- 3Jaouen HadjamD
- 6Edimilson FernandesM
- 8Armin GigovićM
- 10Alvyn SanchesM
- 29Kastriot ImeriM
- 11Joël MonteiroF
- 99Samuel EssendeF
- 16Christian FassnachtM
- 22Isaac SchmidtD
- 13Dominik PechM
- 23Loris BenitoD
- 30Sandro LauperM
- 18Joel MallG
- 33Stefan BukinacD
- 34Edin EtoskiM
- 25Felix TsimbaF
Form going into Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys
Lausanne
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to FC Basel 18931 August 2026
- D1-1Grasshoppers25 July 2026
BSC Young Boys
All competitions we cover
- W6-0away to FC Thun1 August 2026
- W4-2FC Sion26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lausanne | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 25 | +16 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys
- 15 March 2026Lausanne 0–2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 17 January 2026BSC Young Boys 1–3 LausanneSuper League
- 5 October 2025Lausanne 5–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 3 May 2025Lausanne 3–2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 8 March 2025BSC Young Boys 3–0 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: Lausanne and BSC Young Boys
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
BSC Young Boys
GoalsAssists
- S. Essende153
- C. Fassnacht61
- A. Sanches44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lausanne and BSC Young Boys drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for BSC Young Boys at 56% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Cedric Zesiger 48' for BSC Young Boys, Dominik Pech 75' for BSC Young Boys, Florent Mollet 77' for Lausanne, Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 89' for Lausanne. Sent off: Edimilson Fernandes (BSC Young Boys) 58'. On expected goals it finished 1.54–1.09.