Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns Super League prediction & result
Final score: Hangzhou Greentown 4-1 Wuhan Three Towns.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Hangzhou Greentown, 22% draw, 53% Wuhan Three Towns — fair odds of 4.00, 4.55 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wuhan Three Towns at 53% here. Across 2813 settled matches, 673 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns
Line-ups
- 33Bo ZhaoG
- 25Xu JunchiD
- 38Zhang AihuiD
- 36Lucas PossignoloD
- 26Guowen SunD
- 22Cheng JinM
- 4Jin-seob ParkM
- 7Qianglong TaoM
- 10Marko TolićM
- 28Alexandru MitrițăM
- 9Di GaoF
- 18Hao FangF
- 14Wei WuM
- 6Bao ShengxinM
- 17Shiqin WangD
- 3Wang ChangD
- 32Huo ShenpingG
- 1Chunyu DongG
- 16Tong LeiD
- 41Yuxuan JiangM
- 22Jingqi FangG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2Guan HeD
- 11Ang LiD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 18Xiaobing ZhangM
- 50Antoine LeauteyM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10Kilian BevisM
- 7Gustavo SauerF
- 29Jhonder CádizF
- 21Jizheng XiongM
- 8Jinxian WangM
- 28Denny Wang YiD
- 6Wei LongM
- 5Shenyuan LiD
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 15Zhechao ChenD
- 19Yiming LiuD
- 16MinM
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 43 | +2 | 31 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns
- 21 April 2026Wuhan Three Towns 2–0 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 27 July 2025Hangzhou Greentown 3–2 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 28 March 2025Wuhan Three Towns 0–4 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 18 October 2024Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 21 May 2024Hangzhou Greentown 3–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 4 August 2023Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
Leading scorers: Hangzhou Greentown and Wuhan Three Towns
Hangzhou Greentown
- A. Mitriță10 goals12 assists
- M. Tolić9 goals6 assists
Wuhan Three Towns
- J. Cádiz18 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.