Rudes vs NK Osijek HNL prediction & result
Final score: Rudes 1-6 NK Osijek.
Before kick-off the model made it 12% Rudes, 18% draw, 70% NK Osijek — fair odds of 8.33, 5.56 and 1.43.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
NK Osijek at 70%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rudes vs NK Osijek
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 95L. RogicG
- 14B. Unusic
- 4V. CeljakD
- 5M. StolnikD
- 27Felipe CurcioD
- 24I. DjoricM
- 92D. ZivulicM
- 20J. BlagaicM
- 10V. SeitzM
- 21A. SusakM
- 11J. PoldrugacF
- 1F. HoljevacG
- 32S. DuvnjakG
- 2T. KolegaF
- 9S. VukicF
- 7L. IlecicF
- 15N. SkokoM
- 3N. PeranovicD
- 28XaviM
- 17J. PejicF
- 31M. MalenicaG
- 77S. MustaficD
- 49I. KolarikD
- 26L. JelenicD
- 22R. JurisicD
- 23L. VrbancicM
- 7I. DolcekM
- 39D. BukvicM
- 48J. JezicM
- 11N. OmerovicM
- 79A. LeonF
- 1N. CurcijaG
- 2M. HeisterD
- 17A. JakupovicF
- 5J. MersinajD
- 8S. MikolcicM
- 67B. BaktiM
- 16O. PetrusenkoM
- 33E. HasicD
- 30A. LjatifiF
Form going into Rudes vs NK Osijek
Rudes
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to HNK Rijeka2 August 2026
NK Osijek
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to HNK Gorica1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rudes | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rudes vs NK Osijek
- 5 April 2024Rudes 2–3 NK OsijekHNL
- 27 January 2024NK Osijek 2–0 RudesHNL
- 7 October 2023NK Osijek 3–0 RudesHNL
- 30 July 2023Rudes 3–4 NK OsijekHNL
- 26 October 2021Rudes 0–2 NK OsijekCup
Leading scorers: Rudes and NK Osijek
Rudes
No player in HNL's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
NK Osijek
GoalsAssists
- A. León61
- N. Omerović50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NK Osijek won 6–1 at Rudes. The model had made a win for NK Osijek its most likely outcome, at 70%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: A. Leon 12' for NK Osijek, A. Leon 28' for NK Osijek, N. Omerovic 41' for NK Osijek, N. Omerovic 44' for NK Osijek, A. Jakupovic 69' for NK Osijek, N. Omerovic 81' for NK Osijek, L. Ilecic 84' for Rudes. On expected goals it finished 0.60–2.69.