13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Víkingsvollur Stadium, Reykjavik
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC Thun.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Vikingur Reykjavik, 23% draw, 44% FC Thun — fair odds of 3.03, 4.35 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FC Thun 3–0 Vikingur Reykjavik (6 Aug) →

FC Thun went through 5–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Thun at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vikingur Reykjavik94%Draw6%FC Thun0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

G. Sigurdsson
5'
10'
⚽F. Fehrassist: N. Reichmuth
⚽G. Sigurdssonassist: V. Andrason
16'
35'
⚽B. Labeauassist: N. Reichmuth
⚽S. Thordarsonassist: K. Gunnarsson
38'
42'
M. Heule
O. Ekroth
47'
47'
M. Gutbub
⚽V. Ingimundarson
55'
V. Ingimundarson
58'
61'
J. Bamert
🔁K. Gunnarssonout: D. Atlason
63'
🔁A. Thrandarsonout: N. Hansen
63'
G. Vatnhamar
66'
S. Ottesen
71'
🔁A. Finnbogasonout: D. Jonsson
75'
79'
🔁N. Zoukitout: F. Saiz
79'
🔁N. Reichmuthout: N. Maier
83'
🔁M. Gutbubout: L. Stewart
84'
V. Matoshi
88'
🔁M. Heuleout: N. Burgy
🔁V. Ingimundarsonout: S. Thorkelsson
90+2'

Line-ups

Vikingur Reykjavik
  • 29A. Fridriksson
  • 22K. Gunnarsson
  • 4O. Ekroth
  • 6G. Vatnhamar
  • 9H. Gudjonsson
  • 69A. Finnbogason
  • 10G. Sigurdsson
  • 8V. Andrason
  • 21A. Thrandarson
  • 25V. Ingimundarson
  • 77S. Thordarson
Substitutes
  • 47O. Kristinsson
  • 99U. Audunsson
  • 2S. Thorkelsson
  • 24D. Atlason
  • 15R. Thorkelsson
  • 30S. Hauksson
  • 18D. Jonsson
  • 23N. Hansen
Coach: Solvi Ottesen
FC Thun
  • 1N. Steffen
  • 47F. Fehr
  • 19J. Bamert
  • 23M. Burki
  • 27M. Heule
  • 70N. Reichmuth
  • 16J. Roth
  • 13N. Zoukit
  • 78V. Matoshi
  • 33M. Gutbub
  • 96B. Labeau
Substitutes
  • 25T. Spycher
  • 34L. Stucki
  • 5N. Burgy
  • 17A. Balaruban
  • 37L. Dahler
  • 8F. Saiz
  • 21D. Derbaci
  • 80S. Lengen
  • 52A. Ilic
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian

Form going into Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun

Vikingur Reykjavik

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to FC Thun6 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva29 July 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva21 July 2026

FC Thun

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4away to FC Basel 18939 August 2026
  • W3-0Vikingur Reykjavik6 August 2026
  • L0-6BSC Young Boys1 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Dinamo Zagreb28 July 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Luzern25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for FC Thun had three goals or more.
  • FC Thun scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Thun conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun

  • 6 August 2026FC Thun 3–0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa League

The result against the call

Vikingur Reykjavik beat FC Thun 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Thun at 44% and given a win for Vikingur Reykjavik 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: F. Fehr 10' for FC Thun, G. Sigurdsson 16' for Vikingur Reykjavik, B. Labeau 35' for FC Thun, S. Thordarson 38' for Vikingur Reykjavik, V. Ingimundarson 55' for Vikingur Reykjavik.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.