6 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time3 – 0

Final score: FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% FC Thun, 18% draw, 17% Vikingur Reykjavik — fair odds of 1.54, 5.56 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Vikingur Reykjavik v FC Thun, 13 Aug →

FC Thun went through 5–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Thun at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Thun99%Draw1%Vikingur Reykjavik0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Bamertassist: F. Fehr
19'
⚽B. Labeauassist: M. Gutbub
25'
Michael Heule
45+5'
45+4'
Daniel Hafsteinsson
46'
🔁S. Haukssonout: V. Ingimundarson
61'
Aron Elís Þrándarson
🔁N. Maierout: N. Reichmuth
62'
Nassim Zoukit
66'
🔁N. Zoukitout: F. Saiz
71'
🔁M. Gutbubout: S. Lengen
72'
72'
🔁K. Gunnarssonout: D. Atlason
72'
🔁D. Hafsteinssonout: V. Andrason
83'
🔁A. Thrandarsonout: N. Hansen
83'
🔁S. Thorkelssonout: R. Thorkelsson
🔁B. Labeauout: L. Stewart
88'
⚽F. Saiz
90'

Match stats — FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

46%Possession54%
7On target2
6Corners4

Line-ups

FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 5N. BurgyD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 27M. HeuleD
  • 30N. MaierF
  • 16J. RothM
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 78V. MatoshiM
  • 33M. GutbubF
  • 96B. LabeauF
Substitutes
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 34L. StuckiG
  • 8F. Saiz
  • 9F. DursunF
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 54L. PassavantD
  • 11L. StewartF
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
  • 29A. FridrikssonG
  • 22K. GunnarssonD
  • 4O. EkrothD
  • 6G. VatnhamarD
  • 2S. ThorkelssonD
  • 11D. HafsteinssonM
  • 10G. SigurdssonM
  • 9H. GudjonssonD
  • 77S. ThordarsonM
  • 21A. ThrandarsonM
  • 30S. HaukssonM
Substitutes
  • 99U. Audunsson
  • 7E. AgnarssonM
  • 25V. IngimundarsonF
  • 69A. FinnbogasonM
  • 18D. JonssonM
  • 23N. HansenF
  • 24D. AtlasonD
  • 8V. AndrasonM
  • 15R. ThorkelssonD
Coach: Solvi Ottesen

Form going into FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

FC Thun

All competitions we cover

  • L0-6BSC Young Boys1 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Dinamo Zagreb28 July 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Luzern25 July 2026
  • D1-1Dinamo Zagreb21 July 2026

Vikingur Reykjavik

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva29 July 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva21 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Thun conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Thun failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Thun scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Thun beat Vikingur Reykjavik 3–0. The model had made a win for FC Thun its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: J. Bamert 19' for FC Thun, B. Labeau 25' for FC Thun, F. Saiz 90' for FC Thun.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.