13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Universitatea Craiova, 28% draw, 24% KuPS — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: KuPS 1–1 Universitatea Craiova (6 Aug) →

Universitatea Craiova went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Craiova at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Universitatea Craiova97%Draw3%KuPS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽V. R. Gascassist: T. Jyry
31'
T. Hamalainen
⚽S. Nsimba (pen)
43'
46'
🔁T. Hamalainenout: C. Antwi
48'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
D. Matei
52'
🔁S. Nsimbaout: A. Al Hamlawi
61'
🔁D. Mateiout: M. Etim
61'
⚽C. Moraassist: A. Al Hamlawi
62'
65'
K. Adams
67'
🔁J. J. Moreno Ciorciariout: P. Parzyszek
67'
🔁V. R. Gascout: J. Luyeye-Lutumba
N. Bancu
72'
79'
🔁A. Puukkoout: S. Savolainen
🔁A. Cicaldauout: T. Baluta
80'
🔁S. Baiaramout: Heriberto Tavares
80'
🔁A. Mekvabishviliout: Teles
90+1'

Line-ups

Universitatea Craiova
  • 21L. Popescu
  • 28A. Rus
  • 3O. Romanchuk
  • 6V. Screciu
  • 17C. Mora
  • 5A. Mekvabishvili
  • 20A. Cicaldau
  • 11N. Bancu
  • 30D. Matei
  • 7S. Nsimba
  • 10S. Baiaram
Substitutes
  • 1A. Maxim
  • 90R. Sava
  • 4A. Cretu
  • 8T. Baluta
  • 9A. Al Hamlawi
  • 12M. Etim
  • 18M. Radulescu
  • 19Heriberto Tavares
  • 23Teles
Coach: Filipe Coelho
KuPS
  • 1J. Kreidl
  • 29A. Puukko
  • 28B. Magassa
  • 4K. Adams
  • 33T. Hamalainen
  • 10V. R. Gasc
  • 22S. Touray
  • 16T. Jyry
  • 8P. Pennanen
  • 24B. Armah
  • 11J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
Substitutes
  • 12H. Riihimaki
  • 37K. Silen
  • 3S. Heiskanen
  • 6S. Savolainen
  • 9G. Engvall
  • 13N. Kujasalo
  • 17A. Heinonen
  • 20P. Parzyszek
  • 21J. Luyeye-Lutumba
Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Arges Pitesti9 August 2026
  • D1-1away to KuPS6 August 2026
  • W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti1 August 2026
  • D2-2Levski Sofia29 July 2026
  • L1-5away to Dinamo Bucuresti25 July 2026

KuPS

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Turku PS9 August 2026
  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova6 August 2026
  • L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026

What these results say

  • Universitatea Craiova failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Universitatea Craiova conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • KuPS did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • KuPS conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for KuPS had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS

  • 6 August 2026KuPS 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League

The result against the call

Universitatea Craiova beat KuPS 2–1. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: V. R. Gasc 4' for KuPS, S. Nsimba (penalty) 43' for Universitatea Craiova, C. Mora 62' for Universitatea Craiova.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.