13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FK Tobol Kostanay 1-2 FK Partizan.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FK Tobol Kostanay, 24% draw, 36% FK Partizan — fair odds of 2.50, 4.17 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FK Partizan 3–0 FK Tobol Kostanay (6 Aug) →

FK Partizan went through 5–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FK Tobol Kostanay at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Tobol Kostanay5%Draw90%FK Partizan5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽I. Chesnokovassist: L. Guerra
7'
40'
Zoran Alilović
44'
Nemanja Trifunović
46'
🔁Z. Alilovicout: A. Zekovic
46'
🔁N. Trifunovicout: I. Zubairu
46'
🔁E. Kojzekout: Jeh
47'
⚽S. Mitrovicassist: M. Vukotic
63'
Stefan Milić
🔁A. Tagybergenout: A. Talal
63'
🔁R. Asrankulovout: A. Borsic
63'
70'
🔁B. Kosticout: C. Traore
🔁U. Milovanovicout: A. Zuev
78'
81'
🔁M. Vukoticout: S. Nwulu
85'
Samson Nwulu
Nauryzbek Zhagorov
86'
90'
⚽C. Traoreassist: I. Zubairu

Match stats — FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan

55%Possession45%
4On target5
11Corners8

Line-ups

FK Tobol Kostanay 4-4-2
  • 1S. BusurmanovG
  • 21N. ZhagorovM
  • 72R. SenhadjiD
  • 5P. NdiayeD
  • 3R. AsrankulovD
  • 10I. ChesnokovM
  • 8A. TagybergenM
  • 13A. CisseM
  • 30L. GuerraM
  • 99V. LisakovichF
  • 18U. MilovanovicF
Substitutes
  • 35Y. Melikhov
  • 44D. UstimenkoG
  • 4N. CavnicD
  • 6M. MyakishM
  • 14A. TalalM
  • 17A. ZuevM
  • 19D. ZhumatM
  • 22A. MarochkinD
  • 25A. BorsicD
Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko
FK Partizan 4-1-4-1
  • 31M. KrunicG
  • 30M. RoganovicD
  • 44S. MilicD
  • 23S. MitrovicD
  • 24V. DjurdjevicD
  • 11M. VukoticM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 90Z. AlilovicM
  • 99B. KosticM
  • 32N. Trifunovic
  • 9E. KojzekF
Substitutes
  • 1M. MilosevicG
  • 41T. BanjicG
  • 5M. MilovanovicD
  • 7C. TraoreM
  • 8A. ZekovicM
  • 20S. NwuluM
  • 33S. PetrovicD
  • 39I. ZubairuM
  • 40N. SimicD
Coach: Sasa Ilic

Form going into FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan

FK Tobol Kostanay

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to FK Partizan6 August 2026
  • D1-1Panevėžys30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Panevėžys23 July 2026

FK Partizan

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Radnicki NIS8 August 2026
  • W3-0FK Tobol Kostanay6 August 2026
  • W1-0away to UNA Strassen30 July 2026
  • W4-0UNA Strassen23 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan

  • 6 August 2026FK Partizan 3–0 FK Tobol KostanayUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan

FK Tobol Kostanay

No leading scorers listed yet.

FK Partizan

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kojzek32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Partizan won 2–1 at FK Tobol Kostanay. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Tobol Kostanay at 40% and given a win for FK Partizan 36%. The goals: I. Chesnokov 7' for FK Tobol Kostanay, S. Mitrovic 47' for FK Partizan, C. Traore 90' for FK Partizan.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.