FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FK Tobol Kostanay 1-2 FK Partizan.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% FK Tobol Kostanay, 24% draw, 36% FK Partizan — fair odds of 2.50, 4.17 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FK Partizan 3–0 FK Tobol Kostanay (6 Aug) →
FK Partizan went through 5–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FK Tobol Kostanay at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan
Line-ups
- 1S. BusurmanovG
- 21N. ZhagorovM
- 72R. SenhadjiD
- 5P. NdiayeD
- 3R. AsrankulovD
- 10I. ChesnokovM
- 8A. TagybergenM
- 13A. CisseM
- 30L. GuerraM
- 99V. LisakovichF
- 18U. MilovanovicF
- 35Y. Melikhov
- 44D. UstimenkoG
- 4N. CavnicD
- 6M. MyakishM
- 14A. TalalM
- 17A. ZuevM
- 19D. ZhumatM
- 22A. MarochkinD
- 25A. BorsicD
- 31M. KrunicG
- 30M. RoganovicD
- 44S. MilicD
- 23S. MitrovicD
- 24V. DjurdjevicD
- 11M. VukoticM
- 19D. SeckM
- 90Z. AlilovicM
- 99B. KosticM
- 32N. Trifunovic
- 9E. KojzekF
- 1M. MilosevicG
- 41T. BanjicG
- 5M. MilovanovicD
- 7C. TraoreM
- 8A. ZekovicM
- 20S. NwuluM
- 33S. PetrovicD
- 39I. ZubairuM
- 40N. SimicD
Form going into FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan
FK Tobol Kostanay
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to FK Partizan6 August 2026
- D1-1Panevėžys30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Panevėžys23 July 2026
FK Partizan
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Radnicki NIS8 August 2026
- W3-0FK Tobol Kostanay6 August 2026
- W1-0away to UNA Strassen30 July 2026
- W4-0UNA Strassen23 July 2026
What these results say
- FK Partizan won every one of these 4 matches.
- FK Partizan scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FK Partizan kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan
- 6 August 2026FK Partizan 3–0 FK Tobol KostanayUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan
FK Tobol Kostanay
No leading scorers listed yet.
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FK Partizan won 2–1 at FK Tobol Kostanay. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Tobol Kostanay at 40% and given a win for FK Partizan 36%. The goals: I. Chesnokov 7' for FK Tobol Kostanay, S. Mitrovic 47' for FK Partizan, C. Traore 90' for FK Partizan.