Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock Rovers.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 18% draw, 18% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 1.56, 5.56 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë (4 Aug) →
Egnatia Rrogozhinë went through 6–4 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 64%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 98M. Dajsinani
- 28E. Sota
- 33E. Bitri
- 6A. Aleksi
- 22G. Jaime
- 20K. Loukili
- 7Fernando Medeiros
- 10A. Albanese
- 16E. Ndreca
- 2D. Adjessa
- 77I. Gruda
- 1L. Tandilashvili
- 12B. Puja
- 4Z. Aliyev
- 8I. Diabate
- 13A. Kacbufi
- 17A. Kryeziu
- 24N. Ajetovikj
- 29A. Yago
- 55G. Smajli
- 1E. McGinty
- 22T. Sobowale
- 4R. Lopes
- 3E. Stevens
- 11J. Mulraney
- 7D. Watts
- 8M. Healy
- 29J. Byrne
- 24W. Fitzgerald
- 10G. Burke
- 9A. Greene
- 25L. Steacy
- 41A. Noonan
- 5L. Grace
- 14D. Mandroiu
- 15M. Asamoah
- 17L. O'Regan
- 18J. Afolabi
- 19A. Brennan
- 26J. O'Sullivan
Form going into Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Shamrock Rovers4 August 2026
- D1-1away to Celje28 July 2026
- D3-3Celje22 July 2026
Shamrock Rovers
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë4 August 2026
- W2-1Ararat-Armenia28 July 2026
- L0-2away to Ararat-Armenia21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 38 | +21 | 68 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Premier Division
Head-to-head: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers
- 4 August 2026Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Egnatia Rrogozhinë beat Shamrock Rovers 5–1. The model had made a win for Egnatia Rrogozhinë its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Adjessa 4' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, A. Albanese 11' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, I. Gruda 20' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, D. Adjessa 38' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, A. Albanese 58' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, G. Burke 74' for Shamrock Rovers. Sent off: E. Ndreca (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) 45+3'.