Anderlecht vs PAOK UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Anderlecht 3-2 PAOK.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Anderlecht, 17% draw, 18% PAOK — fair odds of 1.54, 5.88 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: PAOK 0–1 Anderlecht (6 Aug) →
Anderlecht went through 4–2 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Anderlecht at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 26C. Coosemans
- 79A. Maamar
- 4G. Biancone
- 27L. Petrot
- 5M. N'Diaye
- 24E. Llansana
- 55M. Kana
- 61K. Nga
- 18L. Ambros
- 9M. Cvetkovic
- 14D. Sikan
- 32J. Heekeren
- 62B. Vroninks
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 50K. Barry
- 2Z. Keita
- 13N. Saliba
- 53N. Cobiella
- 68N. Kalonji Kafumpata
- 91A. Bertaccini
- 1J. Pavlenka
- 3J. Kenny
- 6A. Elustondo
- 5G. Michailidis
- 21A. Baba
- 20C. Zafeiris
- 7B. Santamaria
- 14A. Zivkovic
- 65G. Konstantelias
- 11Taison
- 56A. Mythou
- 99A. Tsiftsis
- 13D. Giannoulis
- 25K. Thymianis
- 18Jogo
- 97D. Bataoulas
- 32G. Taylor
- 10D. Pelkas
- 2M. Camara
- 23T. Louchet
Form going into Anderlecht vs PAOK
Anderlecht
All competitions we cover
- W2-1RAAL La Louvière9 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAOK6 August 2026
- W3-1Hammarby FF30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026
PAOK
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Anderlecht6 August 2026
- W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026
What these results say
- Anderlecht went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Anderlecht scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Anderlecht won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Anderlecht and PAOK in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | PAOK | Super League 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 19 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Super League 1
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs PAOK
- 6 August 2026PAOK 0–1 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and PAOK
Anderlecht
No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
PAOK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ndiaye40
- A. Živković35
- D. Pelkas30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Anderlecht beat PAOK 3–2. The model had made a win for Anderlecht its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: L. Petrot 19' for Anderlecht, A. Zivkovic 34' for PAOK, L. Ambros 47' for Anderlecht, D. Sikan 55' for Anderlecht, A. Jeremejeff (penalty) 88' for PAOK. Sent off: A. Zivkovic (PAOK) 89', A. Jeremejeff (PAOK) 90+3'.