30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Velež vs Dunajska Streda UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Bilino Polje, Zenica
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Velež 0-3 Dunajska Streda.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Velež, 23% draw, 53% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 4.17, 4.35 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dunajska Streda at 53% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Velež0%Draw1%Dunajska Streda99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽A. Ramadanassist: U. Kabic
Andro Babić
37'
38'
⚽A. Ramadanassist: S. Juklerod
🔁D. Salcinout: A. Shhade
46'
🔁R. Abdullahout: A. Bajric
46'
🔁N. Stojanovicout: M. Besic
46'
50'
Simen Juklerød
63'
🔁A. Ramadanout: A. Sylla
63'
🔁J. Bationoout: F. Diongue
63'
🔁G. Gaguaout: N. Udvaros
70'
🔁U. Kabicout: M. Trusa
🔁A. Nukicout: A. Pajevic
73'
🔁S. Duranovicout: K. Djuliman
78'
78'
🔁S. Juklerodout: B. Csoka
Kenan Ðuliman
87'
90'
Alioune Sylla
90'
⚽A. Gueyeassist: M. Trusa

Line-ups

Velež 3-5-2
  • 1F. RibicG
  • 8A. HrkacD
  • 13A. OmerovicD
  • 18S. DuranovicD
  • 7A. NukicD
  • 29A. Babic
  • 10D. Salcin
  • 6R. AbdullahM
  • 11A. MesicM
  • 80N. Stojanovic
  • 9A. SpahicF
Substitutes
  • 22E. MataradzicG
  • 17A. ShhadeM
  • 21A. PajevicF
  • 38D. PuceM
  • 45K. DjulimanM
  • 55A. BajricD
  • 83M. BesicF
Coach: Ibro Rahimic
Dunajska Streda 4-4-2
  • 31A. IvacicG
  • 22T. KapanadzeD
  • 26F. BlazekD
  • 81K. NemanicD
  • 18S. Juklerod
  • 7U. KabicM
  • 44S. OuroM
  • 17J. BationoM
  • 10A. Ramadan
  • 11A. GueyeF
  • 29G. GaguaF
Substitutes
  • 90A. NemethG
  • 1Filipe
  • 14P. CorrF
  • 19A. SyllaM
  • 27F. DiongueM
  • 33T. KacharabaD
  • 36N. UdvarosM
  • 38M. JencusM
  • 40B. Csoka
Coach: Robert Klaus

Form going into Velež vs Dunajska Streda

Velež

  • L0-1away to Dunajska Streda23 July 2026

Dunajska Streda

  • W1-0Velež23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Velež vs Dunajska Streda

  • 30 July 2026Velež 0–2 Dunajska StredaUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Dunajska Streda 1–0 VeležUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.