UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Velež vs Dunajska Streda

Bilino Polje, Zenica

Full time0 – 3

Final score: Velež 0-3 Dunajska Streda.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Velež, 23% draw, 52% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 4.00, 4.35 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Velež 1.32, Dunajska Streda 1.97.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

63%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-1 10%1-2 10%0-2 7%

Head-to-head: Velež vs Dunajska Streda

30 July 2026Velež 0–2 Dunajska StredaUEFA Europa Conference League
23 July 2026Dunajska Streda 1–0 VeležUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Velež against 1.97 for Dunajska Streda. Velež's attack/defence rating is 0.48/2.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.45 for Dunajska Streda.