Velež vs Dunajska Streda UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Velež 0-3 Dunajska Streda.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Velež, 23% draw, 53% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 4.17, 4.35 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Dunajska Streda 1–0 Velež (23 Jul) →
Dunajska Streda went through 4–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunajska Streda at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1F. RibicG
- 8A. HrkacD
- 13A. OmerovicD
- 18S. DuranovicD
- 7A. NukicD
- 29A. Babic
- 10D. Salcin
- 6R. AbdullahM
- 11A. MesicM
- 80N. Stojanovic
- 9A. SpahicF
- 22E. MataradzicG
- 17A. ShhadeM
- 21A. PajevicF
- 38D. PuceM
- 45K. DjulimanM
- 55A. BajricD
- 83M. BesicF
- 31A. IvacicG
- 22T. KapanadzeD
- 26F. BlazekD
- 81K. NemanicD
- 18S. Juklerod
- 7U. KabicM
- 44S. OuroM
- 17J. BationoM
- 10A. Ramadan
- 11A. GueyeF
- 29G. GaguaF
- 90A. NemethG
- 1Filipe
- 14P. CorrF
- 19A. SyllaM
- 27F. DiongueM
- 33T. KacharabaD
- 36N. UdvarosM
- 38M. JencusM
- 40B. Csoka
Form going into Velež vs Dunajska Streda
Velež
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Dunajska Streda23 July 2026
Dunajska Streda
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Velež23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Velež and Dunajska Streda in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Velež | Premijer Liga | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 7 | +30 | 32 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premijer Liga · Super Liga
Head-to-head: Velež vs Dunajska Streda
- 23 July 2026Dunajska Streda 1–0 VeležUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Velež and Dunajska Streda
Velež
No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Dunajska Streda
GoalsAssists
- Ammar Ramadan20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dunajska Streda won 3–0 at Velež. The model had made a win for Dunajska Streda its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Ramadan 22' for Dunajska Streda, A. Ramadan 38' for Dunajska Streda, A. Gueye 90' for Dunajska Streda.