30 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Shkendija vs Bravo UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Shkendija 3-1 Bravo.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% Shkendija, 20% draw, 16% Bravo — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Shkendija at 64% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
⚽J. Stankovicassist: J. Arinze
Drilon Islami
29'
Bojan Dimoski
34'
⚽G. Jovan (OG)
36'
Almir Kryeziu
43'
⚽A. Kryeziuassist: F. Tamba
50'
🔁S. Spahiuout: E. Krasniqi
66'
66'
🔁R. Kopatinout: A. Jakupovic
66'
🔁D. Omoregieout: L. Stravs
🔁F. Ndzengueout: M. Gjorgjievski
74'
81'
🔁J. Stankovicout: O. Mazie
83'
Marwann Nzuzi
⚽M. Gjorgjievskiassist: A. Trumci
88'
🔁F. Tambaout: J. Manev
90+5'
90+1'
🔁J. Arinzeout: A. Pecar

Line-ups

Shkendija 4-2-3-1
  • 25A. AmzaiG
  • 2A. TrumciD
  • 5D. IslamiM
  • 26A. MeljichiD
  • 23B. DimoskiD
  • 17A. ZejnullaiM
  • 8RafaM
  • 29F. TambaF
  • 49S. SpahiuM
  • 11A. KryeziuM
  • 9F. NdzengueF
Substitutes
  • 30F. RamaniG
  • 7B. IbraimiF
  • 10E. KrasniqiM
  • 16M. MuratiD
  • 18N. CekaD
  • 19V. KrstevskiF
  • 20L. DjeladiniM
  • 21A. IsaM
  • 55J. ManevD
Coach: Artim Polozani
Bravo 3-4-3
  • 77M. RozmanG
  • 68M. NzuziD
  • 5I. Halilou
  • 4J. BrunnhoferD
  • 7D. OmoregieM
  • 99M. SimonicM
  • 8S. NuhanovicM
  • 24G. JovanD
  • 17J. ArinzeM
  • 35R. KopatinF
  • 10J. StankovicM
Substitutes
  • 12L. Dakic
  • 22B. MaticicG
  • 9A. JakupovicF
  • 11O. MazieM
  • 21L. StravsM
  • 31V. BozicM
  • 42A. Kumer CelikD
  • 75A. PecarF
  • 95M. FogecD
Coach: Ales Arnol

Form going into Shkendija vs Bravo

Shkendija

  • L1-2away to Bravo23 July 2026

Bravo

  • W2-1Shkendija23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Shkendija vs Bravo

  • 30 July 2026Shkendija 0–1 BravoUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Bravo 2–1 ShkendijaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.