Shkendija
vs
Bravo
The model makes it 66% Shkendija, 19% draw, 15% Bravo — fair odds of 1.52, 5.26 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Shkendija 2.44, Bravo 1.12.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Shkendija vs Bravo
- 30 July 2026Shkendija 0–1 BravoUEFA Europa Conference League
- 23 July 2026Bravo 2–1 ShkendijaUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Shkendija the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.44 expected goals for Shkendija against 1.12 for Bravo. Shkendija's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.82 for Bravo.