FK Zalgiris Vilnius
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi
Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 21% draw, 30% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.04, 4.76 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.23, Dinamo Tbilisi 1.75.
Both teams to score: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi
- 30 July 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–1 Dinamo TbilisiUEFA Europa Conference League
- 23 July 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0 FK Zalgiris VilniusUEFA Europa Conference League
- 1 February 2023FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–0 Dinamo TbilisiFriendlies Clubs
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Zalgiris Vilnius the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.23 expected goals for FK Zalgiris Vilnius against 1.75 for Dinamo Tbilisi. FK Zalgiris Vilnius's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/2.23 for Dinamo Tbilisi.