30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Full time7 – 2

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 21% draw, 32% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.13, 4.76 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (23 Jul) →

FK Zalgiris Vilnius went through 7–5 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Zalgiris Vilnius99%Draw1%Dinamo Tbilisi0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 9 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Aleksandre Kalandadze
⚽Nikola Petković (pen)
9'
22'
🔁P. Psaltisout: L. Houri
⚽S. Bilenkyiassist: P. Golubickas
25'
40'
⚽Leo Santos
41'
Léo Santos
Danny Koy Lupano
56'
⚽N. Petkovicassist: D. Franke
59'
60'
🔁T. Kvaratskheliaout: N. Tkalia
⚽B. Teixeira
61'
Petar Bosančić
62'
68'
Maxime Do Couto
70'
🔁K. Kakashviliout: M. Vatsadze
72'
⚽M. Vatsadzeassist: N. Kurdic
⚽N. Petkovic
73'
74'
Giorgi Loria
76'
Algassime Bah
⚽S. Bilenkyi
82'
🔁P. Golubickasout: N. Mihajlovic
84'
⚽N. Mihajlovicassist: S. Bilenkyi
88'
Yuri Kendysh
90+2'
90+7'
Mate Vatsadze
🔁N. Petkovicout: M. Capan
90+3'
🔁D. Sesplaukisout: K. Upstas
90+3'
🔁D. Frankeout: S. Mamatsashvili
90+3'
⚽S. Bilenkyiassist: B. Teixeira
90'

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1
  • 12V. Sarkauskas
  • 18D. SesplaukisM
  • 4D. Koy Lupano
  • 15P. BosancicD
  • 21D. FrankeD
  • 20I. LytvynenkoM
  • 77Y. KendyshD
  • 10P. GolubickasM
  • 19S. BilenkyiF
  • 70B. TeixeiraM
  • 11N. PetkovicF
Substitutes
  • 1C. OlsesG
  • 5G. TurdaD
  • 6M. CapanM
  • 7N. MihajlovicM
  • 8L. AntalF
  • 9G. JaruseviciusM
  • 13K. UpstasD
  • 14M. SetkusD
  • 22O. VerbickasM
Coach: Andrius Skerla
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2
  • 1G. LoriaG
  • 6Leo Santos
  • 27N. KurdicD
  • 22N. NinuaM
  • 3A. KalandadzeD
  • 17P. PsaltisD
  • 39K. KakashviliM
  • 24B. OseiM
  • 18T. KvaratskheliaF
  • 12A. BahF
  • 14M. Do CoutoM
Substitutes
  • 37M. Makatsaria
  • 40M. GagvishviliG
  • 11M. Vatsadze
  • 16N. TkaliaM
  • 21D. KvartskhavaF
  • 26G. GoguaM
  • 28R. AleksidzeF
  • 29R. DaneliaF
  • 32L. TsikoliaM
Coach: Vladimer Kakashvili

Form going into FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Dinamo Tbilisi23 July 2026

Dinamo Tbilisi

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi

  • 23 July 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0 FK Zalgiris VilniusUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 1 February 2023FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–0 Dinamo TbilisiFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No leading scorers listed yet.

Dinamo Tbilisi

GoalsAssists

  • Rodrigo Silva Ramos22

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Zalgiris Vilnius beat Dinamo Tbilisi 7–2. The model had made a win for FK Zalgiris Vilnius its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Bilenkyi 25' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, Leo Santos 40' for Dinamo Tbilisi, N. Petkovic 59' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, B. Teixeira 61' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, M. Vatsadze 72' for Dinamo Tbilisi, N. Petkovic 73' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, S. Bilenkyi 82' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, N. Mihajlovic 88' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, S. Bilenkyi 90' for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.