FC Sion vs Bate Borisov UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 4-0 Bate Borisov.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% FC Sion, 13% draw, 7% Bate Borisov — fair odds of 1.25, 7.69 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Sion (23 Jul) →
FC Sion went through 5–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 80% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs Bate Borisov
Line-ups
- 1A. RacioppiG
- 14N. LavanchyD
- 5N. SowD
- 17J. KronigD
- 20N. HeftiD
- 88A. KabacalmanM
- 8BaltazarM
- 7I. ChouarefM
- 13W. BoteliM
- 19F. SurdezM
- 33R. NivokaziF
- 12F. RubertoG
- 40S. CailletG
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 38R. KesslerD
- 77D. RrudhaniM
- 9J. LukembilaF
- 29T. BerdayesF
- 21L. ChipperfieldM
- 37F. SyllaM
- 16D. SokolG
- 17Y. KovalevD
- 28I. MikhnyukD
- 33A. RakhmanovD
- 5M. SakutaD
- 25N. NeskoromnyiD
- 52E. KressM
- 55K. KaplenkoM
- 7V. AngbanM
- 19L. DjordjevicF
- 26V. VaraksaF
- 35A. SkopetsG
- 24V. YatskevichF
- 47A. SakhonchikM
- 88P. DubovskiyD
- 18P. KolosovskiyM
- 42A. ZhurinD
- 13Y. KhramtsevichM
- 10E. RusakovM
- 21M. TitovF
Form going into FC Sion vs Bate Borisov
FC Sion
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026
Bate Borisov
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Sion23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
FC Sion and Bate Borisov in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | Super League | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 22 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | Premier League | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League · Premier League
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs Bate Borisov
- 23 July 2026Bate Borisov 1–1 FC SionUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and Bate Borisov
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- J. Lukembila34
Bate Borisov
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Sion beat Bate Borisov 4–0. The model had made a win for FC Sion its most likely outcome, at 80%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: W. Boteli 5' for FC Sion, R. Nivokazi 38' for FC Sion, Baltazar 58' for FC Sion, T. Berdayes 68' for FC Sion.