UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

FC Sion vs Bate Borisov

Stade de Tourbillon, Sion

The model makes it 81% FC Sion, 13% draw, 6% Bate Borisov — fair odds of 1.23, 7.69 and 16.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).

Expected goals: FC Sion 2.96, Bate Borisov 0.76.

Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

51%
Both teams to score
72%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-0 11%3-0 11%2-1 8%

Head-to-head: FC Sion vs Bate Borisov

  • 30 July 2026FC Sion 1–0 Bate BorisovUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Bate Borisov 1–1 FC SionUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 81%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.96 expected goals for FC Sion against 0.76 for Bate Borisov. FC Sion's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/2.34 for Bate Borisov.