23 July 2026, 16:30 UTC

Dunajska Streda vs Velež UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

MOL Arena, Dunajska Streda
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velež.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Dunajska Streda, 37% draw, 32% Velež — fair odds of 3.23, 2.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 37% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
Rafidine Abdullah
Abdoulaye Gueye
43'
⚽G. Gagua (pen)
59'
🔁S. Ouroout: F. Diongue
67'
🔁A. Gueyeout: M. Trusa
67'
77'
🔁D. Salcinout: M. Besic
🔁U. Kabicout: A. Gruber
78'
Ammar Ramadan
82'
85'
Armin Spahic
🔁A. Ramadanout: A. Sylla
86'

Line-ups

Dunajska Streda 4-4-2
  • 31Aljaž IvačičG
  • 22Tsotne KapanadzeD
  • 26Filip BlažekD
  • 81Klemen NemaničD
  • 18Simen JuklerødD
  • 7Uroš KabićM
  • 44Samsondin OuroM
  • 17Julien Eymard BationoM
  • 10Ammar RamadanM
  • 29Giorgi GaguaF
  • 11Abdoulaye GueyeF
Substitutes
  • 27Fallou DiongueM
  • 46Matej TrusaF
  • 9Andreas GruberF
  • 19Alioune SyllaM
  • 1Leandro FilipeG
  • 90Attila NémethG
  • 33Taras KacharabaD
  • 48Jakub MajerD
  • 36Nathan UdvarosM
Velež 3-4-3
  • 1Faris RibićG
  • 13Anes OmerovićD
  • 8Ante HrkaćD
  • 18Said DuranovićD
  • 7Ajdin NukićD
  • 6Rafidine AbdullahM
  • 29Andro BabićM
  • 11Aldin MešićM
  • 80Nino StojanovićF
  • 9Armin SpahicF
  • 10Đani SalčinM
Substitutes
  • 83Mahir BešićF
  • 22Elmin MataradžićG
  • 55Adin BajrićD
  • 17Ayham ShhadeM
  • 20Damir HalilovićM
  • 38Dženan PuceM
  • 21Alan PajevićF
Coach: Ibro Rahimic

Head-to-head: Dunajska Streda vs Velež

  • 23 July 2026Dunajska Streda 1–0 VeležUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.