Dunajska Streda vs Velež UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velež.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Dunajska Streda, 37% draw, 32% Velež — fair odds of 3.23, 2.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Velež v Dunajska Streda, 30 Jul →
Dunajska Streda went through 4–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 31Aljaž IvačičG
- 22Tsotne KapanadzeD
- 26Filip BlažekD
- 81Klemen NemaničD
- 18Simen JuklerødD
- 7Uroš KabićM
- 44Samsondin OuroM
- 17Julien Eymard BationoM
- 10Ammar RamadanM
- 29Giorgi GaguaF
- 11Abdoulaye GueyeF
- 27Fallou DiongueM
- 46Matej TrusaF
- 9Andreas GruberF
- 19Alioune SyllaM
- 1Leandro FilipeG
- 90Attila NémethG
- 33Taras KacharabaD
- 48Jakub MajerD
- 36Nathan UdvarosM
- 1Faris RibićG
- 13Anes OmerovićD
- 8Ante HrkaćD
- 18Said DuranovićD
- 7Ajdin NukićD
- 6Rafidine AbdullahM
- 29Andro BabićM
- 11Aldin MešićM
- 80Nino StojanovićF
- 9Armin SpahicF
- 10Đani SalčinM
- 83Mahir BešićF
- 22Elmin MataradžićG
- 55Adin BajrićD
- 17Ayham ShhadeM
- 20Damir HalilovićM
- 38Dženan PuceM
- 21Alan PajevićF
Dunajska Streda and Velež in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 7 | +30 | 32 |
| 10 | Velež | Premijer Liga | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super Liga · Premijer Liga
Leading scorers: Dunajska Streda and Velež
Dunajska Streda
GoalsAssists
- Ammar Ramadan20
Velež
No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dunajska Streda beat Velež 1–0. The model had leaned towards a draw at 37% and given a win for Dunajska Streda 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: G. Gagua (penalty) 59' for Dunajska Streda.