30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Pyunik Yerevan vs Debreceni VSC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 Debreceni VSC.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Pyunik Yerevan, 27% draw, 52% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 4.76, 3.70 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Debreceni VSC at 52% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Pyunik Yerevan3%Draw93%Debreceni VSC4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

56'
🔁D. Pataiout: B. Batik
🔁H. Harutyunyanout: Witi
58'
🔁I. Pikisout: I. Griffith
58'
🔁D. Kulikovout: M. Yansane
58'
65'
A. Lang
69'
🔁F. Ciblaout: M. Szecsi
69'
🔁S. Baldoniout: A. Szendrei
Witi
69'
🔁E. Simonyanout: S. Metoyan
72'
🔁M. Kovalenkoout: R. Darbinyan
78'
84'
🔁J. Mejiasout: C. Sain Balasz
90+5'
A. Szendrei

Match stats — Pyunik Yerevan vs Debreceni VSC

50%Possession50%
16Shots14
4On target4
6Corners9

Line-ups

Pyunik Yerevan 5-4-1
  • 16Henri AvagyanG
  • 15Mikhail KovalenkoD
  • 4Erik SimonyanD
  • 79Sergiy VakulenkoD
  • 3Nikolaos KenourgiosD
  • 5JamesD
  • 11Hovhannes HarutyunyanM
  • 18Karlen HovhannisyanM
  • 22Sead IslamovićM
  • 25Daniil KulikovM
  • 29Iasonas PikisF
Substitutes
  • 10Iman GriffithF
  • 23WitiF
  • 95Momo YansaneF
  • 71Stanislav BuchnevG
  • 76Filipe AlmeidaD
  • 88Robert DarbinyanD
  • 49Aram AharonyanD
  • 44Hayk TatosyanM
  • 7Edgar MalakyanM
Coach: Artak Oseyan
Debreceni VSC 4-3-3
  • 1Plamen AndreevG
  • 29Erik KusnyírD
  • 4Josua MejíasD
  • 26Ádám LangD
  • 3Adrián GuerreroD
  • 6Blaž BoškovićM
  • 10Balázs DzsudzsákM
  • 75Dávid PataiM
  • 19Dominik KocsisF
  • 25Sohan BaldoniF
  • 99Flórián CiblaF
Substitutes
  • 5Bence BatikD
  • 77Márk SzécsiF
  • 11Ákos SzendreiF
  • 12Benedek ErdélyiG
  • 90Bálint TuskaG
  • 23Gergő TerczaD
  • 72Rotem KellerD
  • 40Dávid HermannD
  • 20Máté MacsóM
Coach: Gert Remmel

Form going into Pyunik Yerevan vs Debreceni VSC

Pyunik Yerevan

  • L0-1away to Debreceni VSC23 July 2026

Debreceni VSC

  • L0-2Puskas Academy26 July 2026
  • W1-0Pyunik Yerevan23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Pyunik Yerevan vs Debreceni VSC

  • 30 July 2026Pyunik Yerevan 0–0 Debreceni VSCUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Debreceni VSC 1–0 Pyunik YerevanUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Pyunik Yerevan and Debreceni VSC

Pyunik Yerevan

No leading scorers listed yet.

Debreceni VSC

  • Á. Szendrei3 goals2 assists
  • B. Dzsudzsák2 goals
  • Adrián Guerrero2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.