23 July 2026, 16:30 UTC

Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie, Czestochowa

Full time3 – 1

Final score: Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Valletta FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Raków Częstochowa, 25% draw, 27% Valletta FC — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published 29 August 2026 · updated 15 September 2026

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Raków Częstochowa at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'

⚽M. Morelloassist: Thaylor

🔁A. Molnarout: T. Pienko

46'

⚽M. Emreli

53'

60'

🔁A. Zammitout: R. Prsa

60'

🔁B. Paiberout: P. Sekulovic

69'

🔁Alex Tanqueout: K. Ewurum

🔁M. Ameyawout: E. Otieno

72'

73'

⚽Petar Sekulović (pen)

74'

Roko Prša

⚽P. Makuchassist: T. Pienko

78'

80'

🔁M. Morelloout: E. Bicakcic

80'

🔁Thaylorout: B. Gomes

🔁J. C. Silvaout: J. Jendryka

82'

🔁M. Emreliout: A. Basse

82'

Tomasz Pieńko

84'

⚽S. Svarnasassist: P. Makuch

90'

Line-ups

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3

1Kacper TrelowskiG
7Fran TudorD
25Bogdan RacovițanD
4Stratos SvarnasD
20Jean Carlos SilvaM
10Wladyslaw KocherhinM
6Oskar RepkaM
19Michael AmeyawM
9Patryk MakuchF
11Mahir EmreliF
88Ádin MolnárM

Substitutes

21Tomasz PieńkoM
26Erick OtienoM
17Jakub JendrykaM
99Adam BasseF
29Wiktor ZolneczkoG
71Tarik KarićG
2Jerzy NapierajM
5Marko BulatM
15Oliwier KwiatkowskiM

Coach: Dawid Kroczek

Valletta FC 4-3-3

90Adilson MaringáG
3Matthias EllulD
33Emmanuel MbendeD
55Sava RadićD
94Manuel MorelloD
77ThaylorF
32Alex de Aguiar GomesF
11Jake AzzopardiM
8Andrea ZammitF
10Brandon PaiberM
19Diogo TavaresF

Substitutes

21Roko PršaM
23Petar SekulovićM
80Keyon EwurumM
4Ermin BičakčićD
9Bruno GomesF
1Julani ArchibaldG
13Liam FrendoG
44Neil Anthony MicallefD
20Yannick YankamM

Coach: Thane Micallef

Head-to-head: Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC

23 July 2026Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Valletta FCUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Raków Częstochowa and Valletta FC