23 July 2026, 16:30 UTC

Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie, Czestochowa
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Valletta FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Raków Częstochowa, 25% draw, 27% Valletta FC — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Valletta FC v Raków Częstochowa, 30 Jul →

Raków Częstochowa went through 7–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Raków Częstochowa at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
⚽M. Morelloassist: Thaylor
🔁A. Molnarout: T. Pienko
46'
⚽M. Emreli
53'
60'
🔁A. Zammitout: R. Prsa
60'
🔁B. Paiberout: P. Sekulovic
69'
🔁Alex Tanqueout: K. Ewurum
🔁M. Ameyawout: E. Otieno
72'
73'
⚽Petar Sekulović (pen)
74'
Roko Prša
⚽P. Makuchassist: T. Pienko
78'
80'
🔁M. Morelloout: E. Bicakcic
80'
🔁Thaylorout: B. Gomes
🔁J. C. Silvaout: J. Jendryka
82'
🔁M. Emreliout: A. Basse
82'
Tomasz Pieńko
84'
⚽S. Svarnasassist: P. Makuch
90'

Line-ups

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
  • 1Kacper TrelowskiG
  • 7Fran TudorD
  • 25Bogdan RacovițanD
  • 4Stratos SvarnasD
  • 20Jean Carlos SilvaM
  • 10Wladyslaw KocherhinM
  • 6Oskar RepkaM
  • 19Michael AmeyawM
  • 9Patryk MakuchF
  • 11Mahir EmreliF
  • 88Ádin MolnárM
Substitutes
  • 21Tomasz PieńkoM
  • 26Erick OtienoM
  • 17Jakub JendrykaM
  • 99Adam BasseF
  • 29Wiktor ZolneczkoG
  • 71Tarik KarićG
  • 2Jerzy NapierajM
  • 5Marko BulatM
  • 15Oliwier KwiatkowskiM
Coach: Dawid Kroczek
Valletta FC 4-3-3
  • 90Adilson MaringáG
  • 3Matthias EllulD
  • 33Emmanuel MbendeD
  • 55Sava RadićD
  • 94Manuel MorelloD
  • 77ThaylorF
  • 32Alex de Aguiar GomesF
  • 11Jake AzzopardiM
  • 8Andrea ZammitF
  • 10Brandon PaiberM
  • 19Diogo TavaresF
Substitutes
  • 21Roko PršaM
  • 23Petar SekulovićM
  • 80Keyon EwurumM
  • 4Ermin BičakčićD
  • 9Bruno GomesF
  • 1Julani ArchibaldG
  • 13Liam FrendoG
  • 44Neil Anthony MicallefD
  • 20Yannick YankamM
Coach: Thane Micallef

Leading scorers: Raków Częstochowa and Valletta FC

Raków Częstochowa

GoalsAssists

  • P. Makuch61

Valletta FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Raków Częstochowa beat Valletta FC 3–1. The model had made a win for Raków Częstochowa its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Morello 23' for Valletta FC, M. Emreli 53' for Raków Częstochowa, P. Makuch 78' for Raków Częstochowa, S. Svarnas 90' for Raków Częstochowa.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.