22 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Levski Sofia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Levski Sofia, 29% draw, 52% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 5.26, 3.45 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Universitatea Craiova at 52% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Dimitrovassist: Serginho
8'
34'
Oleksandr Romanchuk
Aldair
41'
41'
Ștefan Baiaram
🔁M. Moubarikout: G. Trdin
46'
Everton Bala
50'
62'
🔁S. Elisorout: S. Nsimba
🔁A. Oko-Flexout: A. Centelles
64'
75'
🔁A. Mekvabishviliout: T. Baluta
75'
🔁S. Baiaramout: Heriberto Tavares
🔁Everton Balaout: D. Kusso
79'
80'
🔁M. Etimout: Teles
🔁Serginhoout: M. Soula
89'
🔁Reinaldoout: S. Stoyanchov
89'
Maicon
90+1'

Line-ups

Levski Sofia 4-4-2
  • 92Svetoslav VutsovG
  • 21AldairD
  • 50Kristian DimitrovD
  • 31Nikola SerafimovD
  • 3MaiconD
  • 47Akram BourasM
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
  • 17Everton BalaM
Substitutes
  • 18Gašper TrdinM
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 27David KussoM
  • 22Mazire SoulaM
  • 28Steven StoyanchovF
  • 78Martin LukovG
  • 1Ognyan VladimirovG
  • 4Christian MakounD
  • 77Adrian RaychevM
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
  • 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
  • 28Adrian RusD
  • 6Vladimir ScreciuD
  • 17Carlos MoraM
  • 5Anzor MekvabishviliM
  • 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
  • 11Nicușor BancuM
  • 12Monday EtimF
  • 22Simon ElisorF
  • 10Ștefan BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 7Steven NsimbaF
  • 8Tudor BăluțăM
  • 19Heriberto TavaresF
  • 23Samuel TelesM
  • 90Răzvan SavaG
  • 15Juraj BadeljD
  • 24Nikola StevanovićD
  • 31Ronaldo WebsterD
  • 4Alexandru CrețuM
Coach: Filipe Coelho

Form going into Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova

Levski Sofia

  • W2-1Dunav Ruse17 July 2026

Universitatea Craiova

  • W4-0Uta Arad18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1Levski SofiaFirst League9810214+1725
3Universitatea CraiovaLiga I9522199+1017

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: First League · Liga I

Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova

  • 22 July 2026Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova

Levski Sofia

  • Reinaldo3 goals
  • A. Oko-Flex2 goals

Universitatea Craiova

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.