Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Levski Sofia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Levski Sofia, 29% draw, 52% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 5.26, 3.45 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Universitatea Craiova v Levski Sofia, 29 Jul →
Levski Sofia went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 92Svetoslav VutsovG
- 21AldairD
- 50Kristian DimitrovD
- 31Nikola SerafimovD
- 3MaiconD
- 47Akram BourasM
- 35SerginhoM
- 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
- 7ReinaldoF
- 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
- 17Everton BalaM
- 18Gašper TrdinM
- 20Álex CentellesD
- 27David KussoM
- 22Mazire SoulaM
- 28Steven StoyanchovF
- 78Martin LukovG
- 1Ognyan VladimirovG
- 4Christian MakounD
- 77Adrian RaychevM
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 28Adrian RusD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 17Carlos MoraM
- 5Anzor MekvabishviliM
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
- 11Nicușor BancuM
- 12Monday EtimF
- 22Simon ElisorF
- 10Ștefan BaiaramF
- 7Steven NsimbaF
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 19Heriberto TavaresF
- 23Samuel TelesM
- 90Răzvan SavaG
- 15Juraj BadeljD
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 31Ronaldo WebsterD
- 4Alexandru CrețuM
Form going into Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova
Levski Sofia
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Dunav Ruse17 July 2026
Universitatea Craiova
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Uta Arad18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova
Levski Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Reinaldo30
Universitatea Craiova
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Levski Sofia beat Universitatea Craiova 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Craiova at 52% and given a win for Levski Sofia 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: K. Dimitrov 8' for Levski Sofia.