Universitatea Cluj
vs
FCSB
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Universitatea Cluj 2–1 FCSB
The model makes it 52% Universitatea Cluj, 24% draw, 24% FCSB — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Universitatea Cluj 2.09, FCSB 1.24.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: High.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Universitatea Cluj are 5th on 18 points from 11 games; FCSB are 9th on 15 points from 11 games — Liga I.
- Universitatea Cluj have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-4 defeat at home to Rapid.
- FCSB have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Oțelul.
- Last 6 meetings: FCSB 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 7 March 2026, ended FCSB 1–3 Universitatea Cluj.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Cluj at 52% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB
Universitatea Cluj
- L3-4Rapid12 October 2026
- W3-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj8 October 2026
- W2-0away to FC Voluntari20 September 2026
- W3-0Oțelul14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova7 September 2026
FCSB
- W1-0Oțelul10 October 2026
- L0-5away to Universitatea Craiova19 September 2026
- D2-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti5 September 2026
- L1-3Uta Arad30 August 2026
What these results say
- Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
- FCSB failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Universitatea Cluj
Chance to finish in the top four · 48% today
FCSB
Chance to finish in the top four · 9% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB
- 7 March 2026FCSB 1–3 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 1 November 2025Universitatea Cluj 0–2 FCSBLiga I
- 11 May 2025Universitatea Cluj 0–2 FCSBLiga I
- 5 April 2025FCSB 1–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 10 November 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 13 July 2024FCSB 1–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and FCSB
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- A. Aliev62
- O. Mendy31
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Universitatea Cluj carry a model rating of 6.54 against 6.43 for FCSB. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.09 goals for Universitatea Cluj and 1.24 for FCSB. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Universitatea Cluj rate 0.83 in attack and 1.56 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FCSB rate 0.72 and 1.68.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Universitatea Cluj a 2.1% chance of the title and FCSB 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Cluj the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.09 expected goals for Universitatea Cluj against 1.24 for FCSB. Universitatea Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.68 for FCSB.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Universitatea Cluj at home · FCSB away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Universitatea Cluj 11, FCSB 11.
Universitatea Cluj score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); FCSB have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Universitatea Cluj
- at Csikszereda7 Nov · Liga Iwin 51%
- at Farul Constanta21 Nov · Liga Iwin 37%
- vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe28 Nov · Liga Iwin 57%
FCSB
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara7 Nov · Liga Iwin 44%
- at Arges Pitesti21 Nov · Liga Iwin 33%
- vs Csikszereda28 Nov · Liga Iwin 61%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.