FC Voluntari
vs
Farul Constanta
Liga I prediction
Our model says: FC Voluntari 1–2 Farul Constanta
The model makes it 35% FC Voluntari, 26% draw, 39% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Voluntari 1.48, Farul Constanta 1.58.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Farul Constanta: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- FC Voluntari are 15th on 8 points from 11 games; Farul Constanta are 6th on 17 points from 11 games — Liga I.
- FC Voluntari are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Corvinul Hunedoara.
- Farul Constanta have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-1 win at home to Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Voluntari 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 July 2026, ended FC Voluntari 3–0 Farul Constanta.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Farul Constanta at 39% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 3,180 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari
- L2-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara9 October 2026
- L0-2Universitatea Cluj20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Rapid12 September 2026
- W1-0Arges Pitesti7 September 2026
- D2-2Oțelul28 August 2026
Farul Constanta
- W3-1Petrolul Ploiesti11 October 2026
- L0-4away to Dinamo Bucuresti20 September 2026
- W4-2Uta Arad11 September 2026
- D0-0away to CFR 1907 Cluj4 September 2026
- D0-0FC Botosani30 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Voluntari failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Voluntari
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 73% today
Farul Constanta
Chance to finish in the top four · 13% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta
- 11 July 2026FC Voluntari 3–0 Farul ConstantaFriendlies Clubs
- 25 November 2023FC Voluntari 4–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 26 September 2023FC Voluntari 2–0 Farul ConstantaCupa României
- 22 July 2023Farul Constanta 4–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 16 December 2022FC Voluntari 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 22 August 2022Farul Constanta 2–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari
GoalsAssists
- R. Guțea40
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
- M. Ahlinvi41
- Iustin Doicaru31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Voluntari carry a model rating of 6.2 against 6.38 for Farul Constanta. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.48 goals for FC Voluntari and 1.58 for Farul Constanta. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Voluntari rate 0.59 in attack and 2.20 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Farul Constanta rate 0.65 and 1.67.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Voluntari a 0% chance of the title and Farul Constanta 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Farul Constanta the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for FC Voluntari against 1.58 for Farul Constanta. FC Voluntari's attack/defence rating is 0.59/2.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.67 for Farul Constanta.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Voluntari at home · Farul Constanta away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: FC Voluntari 11, Farul Constanta 11.
Farul Constanta score most often in the 16–30 minute window (6 goals); FC Voluntari have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
FC Voluntari
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe7 Nov · Liga Iwin 25%
- at FC Botosani21 Nov · Liga Iwin 20%
- vs CFR 1907 Cluj28 Nov · Liga Iwin 29%
Farul Constanta
- vs Rapid7 Nov · Liga Iwin 31%
- vs Universitatea Cluj21 Nov · Liga Iwin 37%
- at Corvinul Hunedoara28 Nov · Liga Iwin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.