FC Voluntari
vs
FCSB
Liga I prediction
Our model says: FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSB
The model makes it 32% FC Voluntari, 27% draw, 41% FCSB — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Voluntari 1.43, FCSB 1.79.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- FC Voluntari are 15th on 8 points from 10 games; FCSB are 11th on 12 points from 10 games — Liga I.
- FC Voluntari have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Universitatea Cluj.
- FCSB have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-5 defeat away to Universitatea Craiova.
- Last 6 meetings: FCSB 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 7 September 2024, ended FCSB 3–0 FC Voluntari.
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: FC Voluntari vs FCSB
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FCSB at 41% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Voluntari vs FCSB
FC Voluntari
- L0-2Universitatea Cluj20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Rapid12 September 2026
- W1-0Arges Pitesti7 September 2026
- D2-2Oțelul28 August 2026
- L1-3away to Universitatea Craiova23 August 2026
FCSB
- L0-5away to Universitatea Craiova19 September 2026
- D2-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti5 September 2026
- L1-3Uta Arad30 August 2026
- L0-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj23 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Voluntari failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB did not win any of these 5 matches.
- FCSB conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FCSB had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 8 |
| 11 | FCSB | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs FCSB
- 7 September 2024FCSB 3–0 FC VoluntariFriendlies Clubs
- 29 February 2024FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 22 October 2023FCSB 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 12 February 2023FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 12 September 2022FCSB 1–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 14 May 2022FC Voluntari 2–2 FCSBLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and FCSB
FC Voluntari
- R. Guțea4 goals
FCSB
- D. Bîrligea3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Voluntari carry a model rating of 6.17 against 6.44 for FCSB. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.43 goals for FC Voluntari and 1.79 for FCSB. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Voluntari rate 0.55 in attack and 2.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FCSB rate 0.75 and 1.74.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Voluntari a 0% chance of the title and FCSB 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FCSB the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.43 expected goals for FC Voluntari against 1.79 for FCSB. FC Voluntari's attack/defence rating is 0.55/2.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.74 for FCSB.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Voluntari at home · FCSB away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: FC Voluntari 10, FCSB 10.
FC Voluntari score most often in the 0–15 minute window (3 goals); FCSB have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FC Voluntari
- at Csikszereda24 Oct · Liga Iwin 32%
- vs Farul Constanta31 Oct · Liga Iwin 34%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe7 Nov · Liga Iwin 25%
- at FC Botosani21 Nov · Liga Iwin 23%
FCSB
- vs Rapid24 Oct · Liga Iwin 35%
- at Universitatea Cluj31 Oct · Liga Iwin 27%
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara7 Nov · Liga Iwin 40%
- at Arges Pitesti21 Nov · Liga Iwin 32%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.