UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round · 4 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

AlbertPark, Oostende

The model makes it 38% Union St. Gilloise, 26% draw, 36% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Union St. Gilloise 1.45, Bodo/Glimt 1.41.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.

Model confidence: Low.

Model insights

58%
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 9%1-2 8%

Head-to-head: Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

  • 3 October 2024Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Union St. Gilloise the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.45 expected goals for Union St. Gilloise against 1.41 for Bodo/Glimt. Union St. Gilloise's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.93/0.96 for Bodo/Glimt.