UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round · 4 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava

Strandvallen

The model makes it 54% Mjallby AIF, 22% draw, 24% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Mjallby AIF 2.12, Slovan Bratislava 1.36.

Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

66%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines2-1 9%1-1 9%2-0 7%

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Mjallby AIF the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.12 expected goals for Mjallby AIF against 1.36 for Slovan Bratislava. Mjallby AIF's attack/defence rating is 0.91/1.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.23 for Slovan Bratislava.