4 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Strandvallen
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Mjallby AIF 1-2 Slovan Bratislava.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Mjallby AIF, 22% draw, 24% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mjallby AIF at 54% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF6%Draw90%Slovan Bratislava4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Samuelsen
41'
52'
C. Martinez
⚽E. Stroud (pen)
61'
66'
🔁A. Gajdosout: A. Mustafic
66'
🔁A. Marosout: S. Camara
🔁J. Bergstromout: A. Youssef
70'
🔁J. Kjaerout: A. Manneh
70'
78'
⚽S. Camaraassist: M. Kukharevych
79'
🔁C. Martinezout: R. Ibrahim
79'
🔁M. Kukharevychout: M. Kianga
🔁V. Granathout: M. Nielsen
81'
🔁V. Gustafsonout: R. Arrhenius
81'
J. Gustavsson
89'
🔁A. Samuelsenout: P. Lindberg
90'
90'
⚽M. Kiangaassist: S. Camara

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 3-4-2-1
  • 13R. WallinderG
  • 5A. IqbalD
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 14V. GranathM
  • 22J. GustavssonM
  • 7V. GustafsonM
  • 17E. StroudM
  • 10J. KjaerF
  • 23A. SamuelsenF
  • 18J. BergstromF
Substitutes
  • 35A. LundinG
  • 3M. AgnarssonM
  • 4A. NorenD
  • 9A. YoussefM
  • 15B. Bang-KittilsenF
  • 19A. MannehF
  • 25M. NielsenD
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 27L. TidstrandD
Coach: Karl Aksum
Slovan Bratislava 4-3-3
  • 71D. TakacG
  • 28C. BlackmanD
  • 12K. BajricD
  • 15S. MarkovicD
  • 57S. CruzD
  • 8A. GajdosM
  • 3P. PokornyM
  • 70C. Martinez
  • 29A. MarosM
  • 9M. KukharevychF
  • 14A. YirajangM
Substitutes
  • 1A. PopovicG
  • 44M. MacikG
  • 2S. KozlovskyD
  • 5R. Ibrahim
  • 6K. WimmerD
  • 19M. KiangaF
  • 20A. MustaficM
  • 21S. CamaraF
  • 24M. TomaskoF
Coach: Yaya Toure

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava

Mjallby AIF

  • D0-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC28 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
  • W3-0Lincoln Red Imps FC21 July 2026
  • D0-0Vasteras SK FK17 July 2026

Slovan Bratislava

  • D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Mjallby AIF and Slovan Bratislava in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan205692634-821
35Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League100116-50

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Allsvenskan · UEFA Champions League

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava

  • 4 August 2026Mjallby AIF 1–2 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Slovan Bratislava

Mjallby AIF

  • J. Bergström8 goals

Slovan Bratislava

  • A. Šporar2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.