4 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League prediction & result

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Final score: Mjallby AIF 1-2 Slovan Bratislava.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Mjallby AIF, 22% draw, 24% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 1.85, 4.55 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Slovan Bratislava v Mjallby AIF, 11 Aug →

Slovan Bratislava went through 4–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mjallby AIF at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF6%Draw90%Slovan Bratislava4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Samuelsen
41'
52'
C. Martinez
⚽E. Stroud (pen)
61'
66'
🔁A. Gajdosout: A. Mustafic
66'
🔁A. Marosout: S. Camara
🔁J. Bergstromout: A. Youssef
70'
🔁J. Kjaerout: A. Manneh
70'
78'
⚽S. Camaraassist: M. Kukharevych
79'
🔁C. Martinezout: R. Ibrahim
79'
🔁M. Kukharevychout: M. Kianga
🔁V. Granathout: M. Nielsen
81'
🔁V. Gustafsonout: R. Arrhenius
81'
J. Gustavsson
89'
🔁A. Samuelsenout: P. Lindberg
90'
90'
⚽M. Kiangaassist: S. Camara

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 3-4-2-1
  • 13R. WallinderG
  • 5A. IqbalD
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 14V. GranathM
  • 22J. GustavssonM
  • 7V. GustafsonM
  • 17E. StroudM
  • 10J. KjaerF
  • 23A. SamuelsenF
  • 18J. BergstromF
Substitutes
  • 35A. LundinG
  • 3M. AgnarssonM
  • 4A. NorenD
  • 9A. YoussefM
  • 15B. Bang-KittilsenF
  • 19A. MannehF
  • 25M. NielsenD
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 27L. TidstrandD
Coach: Karl Aksum
Slovan Bratislava 4-3-3
  • 71D. TakacG
  • 28C. BlackmanD
  • 12K. BajricD
  • 15S. MarkovicD
  • 57S. CruzD
  • 8A. GajdosM
  • 3P. PokornyM
  • 70C. Martinez
  • 29A. MarosM
  • 9M. KukharevychF
  • 14A. YirajangM
Substitutes
  • 1A. PopovicG
  • 44M. MacikG
  • 2S. KozlovskyD
  • 5R. Ibrahim
  • 6K. WimmerD
  • 19M. KiangaF
  • 20A. MustaficM
  • 21S. CamaraF
  • 24M. TomaskoF
Coach: Yaya Toure

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava

Mjallby AIF

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC28 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
  • W3-0Lincoln Red Imps FC21 July 2026
  • D0-0Vasteras SK FK17 July 2026

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026
  • W2-0away to FC Iberia 199921 July 2026

What these results say

  • Mjallby AIF failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Mjallby AIF kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovan Bratislava won 2–1 at Mjallby AIF. The model had leaned towards a win for Mjallby AIF at 54% and given a win for Slovan Bratislava 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Stroud (penalty) 61' for Mjallby AIF, S. Camara 78' for Slovan Bratislava, M. Kianga 90' for Slovan Bratislava.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.