4 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

Full time0 – 0

Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC Nijmegen.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Olympiakos Piraeus, 27% draw, 33% NEC Nijmegen — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published 29 August 2026 · updated 15 September 2026

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Olympiakos Piraeus at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Olympiakos Piraeus4%Draw92%NEC Nijmegen4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

David Carmo

11'

🔁J. Rocaout: G. Martins

46'

🔁Chiquinhoout: Jota Silva

56'

🔁D. Carmoout: L. Pirola

56'

🔁M. Saliakasout: P. Maffeo

57'

🔁P. Retsosout: Z. Smajlovic

64'

Dani García

67'

70'

🔁S. Ouaissaout: E. Mor

70'

🔁T. Stormout: B. Pereira

74'

🔁B. Linssenout: D. Tadic

74'

🔁P. Sandlerout: I. Hansen-Aaroen

90+1'

Willum Thor Willumsson

90'

🔁J. Monteiroout: W. T. Willumsson

Match stats — Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

54%Possession46%

12Shots13

5On target4

5Corners2

Line-ups

Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1

31B. PopovicG
2M. SaliakasD
45P. RetsosD
6D. CarmoD
70B. OnyemaechiD
14D. GarciaM
96C. MouzakitisM
23RodineiM
22ChiquinhoM
73J. RocaM
9A. El KaabiF

Substitutes

1S. OrtegaG
91D. StournarasG
76A. TsompanidisG
20Jota SilvaF
8G. SaM
16L. ScipioniM
77C. FilisM
7K. FortounisM
10G. MartinsM

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

1G. CrettazG
21T. StormD
3P. SandlerD
24D. FonvilleD
25S. OuaissaM
35J. MonteiroM
6D. NejasmicM
99C. BischoffM
20N. LebretonF
30B. LinssenF
9T. CheryF

Substitutes

36F. EntiusG
38J. Geneste
10D. TadicF
8I. Hansen-AaroenM
7E. MorF
5T. OuwejanD
14K. SierhuisF
11W. T. WillumssonM
2B. PereiraD

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Olympiakos Piraeus and NEC Nijmegen in their domestic leagues

#	Team	League	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	Super League 1	4	2	1	1	3	2	+1	7
10	NEC Nijmegen	Eredivisie	6	2	1	3	11	12	-1	7

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · Eredivisie

Head-to-head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

27 July 2024NEC Nijmegen 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Olympiakos Piraeus and NEC Nijmegen