4 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Auda vs Dinamo Tirana UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Skonto stadions, Riga
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Auda 1-0 Dinamo Tirana.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Auda, 25% draw, 23% Dinamo Tirana — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Dinamo Tirana v Auda, 13 Aug →

Dinamo Tirana went through 4–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Auda at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Auda98%Draw2%Dinamo Tirana0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

R. Kragliks
12'
Y. Traore
52'
60'
F. Perndreca
64'
E. Qardaku
66'
B. Dita
⚽B. Diedhiouassist: E. Daskevics
68'
71'
F. Perndreca
71'
F. Perndreca
75'
🔁L. Vilaout: Lorran
82'
🔁H. Berishaout: R. Silva-Richards
82'
🔁M. Ayodejiout: D. Fadairo
82'
🔁I. Manellariout: F. Ruci
🔁B. Diedhiouout: A. Appiah
86'
W. Fofana
90+1'
90+4'
🔁E. Qardakuout: D. Metaj

Line-ups

Auda 4-3-3
  • 98N. PurinsG
  • 2T. HrvojD
  • 4M. OuedraogoD
  • 6R. KragliksD
  • 71O. RubenisD
  • 20Y. TraoreM
  • 8E. BongembaM
  • 10W. FofanaM
  • 17E. DaskevicsM
  • 47K. KoneF
  • 25B. DiedhiouM
Substitutes
  • 1R. SturinsG
  • 12N. AleksandrovsG
  • 7A. AppiahF
  • 14H. IbrahimM
  • 18A. ArroyoM
  • 23M. FofanaF
  • 26H. LuswekiF
  • 46J. GeroldM
  • 77J. MininsM
Coach: Didier Zanetti
Dinamo Tirana 4-2-2-2
  • 77A. TeqjaG
  • 2U. Ismaili
  • 22B. DitaD
  • 27N. AlijiD
  • 13F. PerndrecaD
  • 28I. ManellariM
  • 8E. QardakuM
  • 20M. AyodejiM
  • 21K. Qefalia
  • 10L. VilaM
  • 29H. BerishaF
Substitutes
  • 1E. SaliG
  • 97T. Kiri
  • 5E. HoxhallariD
  • 11R. Silva-RichardsF
  • 16N. BletaM
  • 18D. MetajF
  • 24F. Farruku
  • 33D. Fadairo
  • 45B. Aniekan JamesF
Coach: Ilir Daja

Form going into Auda vs Dinamo Tirana

Auda

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1FCSB30 July 2026
  • W3-2away to FCSB23 July 2026

Dinamo Tirana

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Aluminij30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Aluminij23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

Auda beat Dinamo Tirana 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Auda at 52%. The goal: B. Diedhiou 68' for Auda. Sent off: F. Perndreca (Dinamo Tirana) 71'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.