4 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Auda vs Dinamo Tirana UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Skonto stadions, Riga
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Auda 1-0 Dinamo Tirana.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Auda, 25% draw, 23% Dinamo Tirana — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Auda at 52% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Auda98%Draw2%Dinamo Tirana0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

R. Kragliks
12'
Y. Traore
52'
60'
F. Perndreca
64'
E. Qardaku
66'
B. Dita
⚽B. Diedhiouassist: E. Daskevics
68'
71'
F. Perndreca
71'
F. Perndreca
75'
🔁L. Vilaout: Lorran
82'
🔁H. Berishaout: R. Silva-Richards
82'
🔁M. Ayodejiout: D. Fadairo
82'
🔁I. Manellariout: F. Ruci
🔁B. Diedhiouout: A. Appiah
86'
W. Fofana
90+1'
90+4'
🔁E. Qardakuout: D. Metaj

Line-ups

Auda 4-3-3
  • 98N. PurinsG
  • 2T. HrvojD
  • 4M. OuedraogoD
  • 6R. KragliksD
  • 71O. RubenisD
  • 20Y. TraoreM
  • 8E. BongembaM
  • 10W. FofanaM
  • 17E. DaskevicsM
  • 47K. KoneF
  • 25B. DiedhiouM
Substitutes
  • 1R. SturinsG
  • 12N. AleksandrovsG
  • 7A. AppiahF
  • 14H. IbrahimM
  • 18A. ArroyoM
  • 23M. FofanaF
  • 26H. LuswekiF
  • 46J. GeroldM
  • 77J. MininsM
Coach: Didier Zanetti
Dinamo Tirana 4-2-2-2
  • 77A. TeqjaG
  • 2U. Ismaili
  • 22B. DitaD
  • 27N. AlijiD
  • 13F. PerndrecaD
  • 28I. ManellariM
  • 8E. QardakuM
  • 20M. AyodejiM
  • 21K. Qefalia
  • 10L. VilaM
  • 29H. BerishaF
Substitutes
  • 1E. SaliG
  • 97T. Kiri
  • 5E. HoxhallariD
  • 11R. Silva-RichardsF
  • 16N. BletaM
  • 18D. MetajF
  • 24F. Farruku
  • 33D. Fadairo
  • 45B. Aniekan JamesF
Coach: Ilir Daja

Form going into Auda vs Dinamo Tirana

Auda

  • W4-1FCSB30 July 2026
  • W3-2away to FCSB23 July 2026

Dinamo Tirana

  • W3-0Aluminij30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Aluminij23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Auda vs Dinamo Tirana

  • 4 August 2026Auda 1–0 Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.