4 August 2026, 00:15 UTC

Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Buenos Aires
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Huracan 0-0 Atletico Tucuman.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Huracan, 30% draw, 24% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 2.17, 3.33 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Huracan at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Huracan4%Draw94%Atletico Tucuman2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
M. Villa
34'
L. Diaz
J. Caicedo
38'
38'
🔁L. Diazout: N. Lamendola
🔁E. Ojedaout: O. Romero
46'
60'
L. Vega
🔁J. Bisanzout: T. Peralta
73'
75'
🔁R. Ruizout: M. Brondo
🔁F. Kalingerout: L. Mora
81'
🔁O. Cortesout: T. Uribe
81'
85'
🔁L. Vegaout: K. Ortiz
85'
🔁L. Godoyout: J. Fernandez
85'
🔁R. Tesuriout: G. Compagnucci
L. Mora
86'
🔁L. Gilout: A. Martinez
90+6'

Match stats — Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman

65%Possession35%
16Shots16
1On target3
4Corners6
0.9xG1.4

Goals against chances

Huracan0 from 0.90 xGless than the chances were worth
Atletico Tucuman0 from 1.40 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Huracan 4-3-3
  • 1Hernán GalíndezG
  • 2Lucas BlondelD
  • 21Hugo NervoD
  • 3Lucas CarrizoD
  • 35Máximo PalazzoD
  • 24Facundo KalingerM
  • 20Emmanuel OjedaM
  • 8Leonardo GilM
  • 17Juan BisanzF
  • 9Jordy CaicedoF
  • 7Oscar CortésF
Substitutes
  • 10Óscar RomeroM
  • 11Thaiel PeraltaM
  • 41Lautaro MoraF
  • 49Tomás UribeM
  • 14Alejandro MartínezM
  • 32Sebastián MezaG
  • 4Federico VeraD
  • 46Fabrizio MartínezD
  • 6Fabio PereyraD
Coach: Diego Martinez
Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
  • 1Luis IngolottiG
  • 3Maximiliano VillaD
  • 26Clever FerreiraD
  • 36Luciano VallejoD
  • 21Ignacio GalvánD
  • 19Leonel VegaM
  • 11Renzo TesuriM
  • 31Lautaro Agustin GodoyM
  • 10Franco NicolaM
  • 18Ramiro Ruiz RodríguezM
  • 9Leandro DíazF
Substitutes
  • 23Nicolás LaméndolaF
  • 30Manuel BrondoF
  • 45Kevin OrtízM
  • 28Gabriel CompagnucciD
  • 5Julián FernándezM
  • 25Tomás DursoG
  • 24Leonel Di PlácidoD
  • 2Ramiro PauneroD
  • 6Gianluca FerrariD
Coach: Julio Falcioni

Form going into Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman

Huracan

  • L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia30 July 2026
  • W1-0Banfield25 July 2026

Atletico Tucuman

  • W2-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago31 July 2026
  • D0-0Independiente Rivadavia26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman

  • 4 August 2026Huracan 0–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 February 2026Atletico Tucuman 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 19 November 2024Atletico Tucuman 4–2 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 April 2024Huracan 4–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 26 November 2023Atletico Tucuman 0–2 HuracanCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 7 July 2023Huracan 0–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Huracan and Atletico Tucuman

Huracan

  • J. Caicedo13 goals

Atletico Tucuman

  • L. Díaz7 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.