Shamrock Rovers
vs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
The model makes it 37% Shamrock Rovers, 22% draw, 41% Egnatia Rrogozhinë — fair odds of 2.70, 4.55 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Shamrock Rovers 1.82, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.91.
Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Egnatia Rrogozhinë the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.82 expected goals for Shamrock Rovers against 1.91 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Shamrock Rovers's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.95 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.75 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.