Relegation Group - 36 · 21 November 2026, 05:00 UTC

Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang K League 1 prediction

Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang

Our model says: Pohang Steelers 1–0 FC Anyang

The model makes it 37% Pohang Steelers, 30% draw, 33% FC Anyang — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Pohang Steelers 1.26, FC Anyang 1.16.

Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.

Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 10 November 2026. Pohang Steelers's rating is built from 73 K League 1 matches and FC Anyang's from 73, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 674 matches.

Key facts

  • Pohang Steelers are 9th on 44 points from 35 games; FC Anyang are 8th on 46 points from 35 games — K League 1, Relegation Group.
  • Pohang Steelers have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Bucheon FC 1995.
  • FC Anyang have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
  • Last 6 meetings: Pohang Steelers 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 18 October 2026, ended Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC Anyang.

More K League 1 predictions

All K League 1 predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang

50%
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Pohang Steelers win Draw FC Anyang win
  1. 1–114%
  2. 1–011%
  3. 0–110%
  4. 0–010%
  5. 2–18%
  6. 1–28%
  7. 2–07%

Scores read Pohang Steelers first; the other scorelines share the remaining 33%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Pohang Steelers at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang

Pohang Steelers

K League 1

  • D2-2away to Bucheon FC 19958 November 2026
  • D1-1Jeju United FC1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC24 October 2026
  • D0-0FC Anyang18 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Incheon United9 October 2026

FC Anyang

K League 1

  • L0-1away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC7 November 2026
  • W2-1Bucheon FC 19951 November 2026
  • D1-1Jeonbuk Motors24 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Pohang Steelers18 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Pohang Steelers did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Pohang Steelers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Anyang had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Pohang Steelers351111133342-944
8FC Anyang351113114250-846

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Pohang Steelers

Chance to finish top of the Championship Group · 5% today

Win 11%
Draw 1%
Defeat <1%

FC Anyang

Chance to finish top of the Championship Group · 26% today

Win 42%
Draw 22%
Defeat 13%

From our K League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang

  • 18 October 2026Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 4 July 2026FC Anyang 2–3 Pohang SteelersK League 1
  • 19 April 2026Pohang Steelers 0–1 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 15 August 2025FC Anyang 0–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
  • 23 May 2025FC Anyang 0–2 Pohang SteelersK League 1
  • 12 April 2025Pohang Steelers 2–1 FC AnyangK League 1

Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang

Pohang Steelers

GoalsAssists

  • Juninho Rocha41

FC Anyang

GoalsAssists

  • Airton50
  • Matheus Oliveira44

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Pohang Steelers FC Anyang
0.55 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.63
1.46 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.61
1.26 Model expected goals (this match) 1.16

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Pohang Steelers the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Pohang Steelers against 1.16 for FC Anyang. Pohang Steelers's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.46 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.61 for FC Anyang.

How the model reaches 37% for Pohang Steelers to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Pohang Steelers to win. Then home advantage adds 3 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Pohang Steelers's ratings take away 1 point and FC Anyang's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 37%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage39%+3
  3. Both sides at this match's level38%−1
  4. Pohang Steelers's ratings37%−1
  5. FC Anyang's ratings37%±0

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Pohang SteelersFC Anyang
34Matches35
11W 10D 13LRecord11W 13D 11L
31 0.9 per gameGoals scored42 1.2 per game
40 1.2 per gameGoals conceded50 1.4 per game
11 of 34Clean sheets5 of 35
14 of 34Failed to score8 of 35
5 of 7Penalties scored5 of 7
56 1.6 per gameYellow cards68 1.9 per game
5Red cards4
4-3-3 10×Usual shape4-3-3 22×

Pohang Steelers at home · FC Anyang away

15Played18
4W 5D 6LRecord6W 7D 5L
7–12Goals for – against22–21
6 of 15Clean sheets5 of 18

League matches only, K League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All K League 1 matches this season: Pohang Steelers 34, FC Anyang 35.

Pohang Steelers scored 536755
FC Anyang conceded 52912129

Pohang Steelers score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); FC Anyang have let in 12 there.

FC Anyang scored 667869
Pohang Steelers conceded 25831111

FC Anyang score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Pohang Steelers have let in 11 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Pohang Steelers

FC Anyang

  • vs Jeju United FC28 Nov · K League 1win 34%
  • vs Gwangju FC5 Dec · K League 1win 45%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.