Jeonbuk Motors
vs
FC Seoul
K League 1 prediction
Our model says: Jeonbuk Motors 0–1 FC Seoul
The model makes it 34% Jeonbuk Motors, 28% draw, 38% FC Seoul — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Jeonbuk Motors 1.27, FC Seoul 1.36.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Jeonbuk Motors's rating is built from 73 K League 1 matches and FC Seoul's from 73, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 674 matches.
Key facts
- Jeonbuk Motors are 5th on 49 points from 35 games; FC Seoul are top on 67 points from 35 games — K League 1, Championship Group.
- Jeonbuk Motors are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Gangwon FC.
- FC Seoul are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Ulsan Hyundai FC.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 12 September 2026, ended Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 FC Seoul.
More K League 1 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul
Has the model earned this number?
FC Seoul at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul
Jeonbuk Motors
K League 1
- L2-3away to Gangwon FC8 November 2026
- D0-0Daejeon Citizen31 October 2026
- D1-1away to FC Anyang24 October 2026
- W3-2Jeju United FC18 October 2026
- L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen9 October 2026
FC Seoul
K League 1
- L1-2Ulsan Hyundai FC8 November 2026
- L0-1Incheon United1 November 2026
- D1-1Gangwon FC24 October 2026
- D2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC18 October 2026
- W2-1Jeju United FC10 October 2026
What these results say
- Jeonbuk Motors failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Seoul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 49 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 32 | +30 | 67 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul
- 12 September 2026Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 FC SeoulK League 1
- 1 August 2026Jeonbuk Motors 0–0 FC SeoulK League 1
- 11 April 2026FC Seoul 1–0 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 30 November 2025Jeonbuk Motors 2–1 FC SeoulK League 1
- 27 September 2025FC Seoul 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 2 July 2025FC Seoul 0–1 Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup
Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and FC Seoul
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó100
- Lee Seung-Woo44
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Jeonbuk Motors a 0% chance of the title and FC Seoul 100%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Seoul the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.27 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors against 1.36 for FC Seoul. Jeonbuk Motors's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.85/1.28 for FC Seoul.
How the model reaches 38% for FC Seoul to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FC Seoul to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Jeonbuk Motors's ratings add 2 points and FC Seoul's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage33%−3
- Jeonbuk Motors's ratings35%+2
- FC Seoul's ratings38%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Jeonbuk Motors at home · FC Seoul away
League matches only, K League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All K League 1 matches this season: Jeonbuk Motors 35, FC Seoul 35.
Jeonbuk Motors score most often in the 76–90 minute window (15 goals); FC Seoul have let in 8 there.
FC Seoul score most often in the 46–60 minute window (20 goals); Jeonbuk Motors have let in 9 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Jeonbuk Motors
- at Kashima25 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 21%
- at Ulsan Hyundai FC29 Nov · K League 1win 36%
- vs Gamba Osaka2 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 47%
- vs Incheon United6 Dec · K League 1win 37%
- at Kyoto Sanga9 Feb · AFC Champions League Elitewin 33%
FC Seoul
- vs Daejeon Citizen28 Nov · K League 1win 42%
- at Gangwon FC6 Dec · K League 1win 38%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.