FC Anyang
vs
Jeju United FC
K League 1 prediction
Our model says: FC Anyang 0–1 Jeju United FC
The model makes it 34% FC Anyang, 29% draw, 37% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: FC Anyang 1.24, Jeju United FC 1.32.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.
A tight game: FC Anyang and Jeju United FC are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. FC Anyang's rating is built from 73 K League 1 matches and Jeju United FC's from 75, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 674 matches.
Key facts
- FC Anyang are 8th on 46 points from 35 games; Jeju United FC are 7th on 48 points from 35 games — K League 1, Relegation Group.
- FC Anyang have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Jeju United FC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Gwangju FC.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Anyang 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 19 August 2026, ended FC Anyang 2–1 Jeju United FC.
More K League 1 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Anyang vs Jeju United FC
Has the model earned this number?
Jeju United FC at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Anyang vs Jeju United FC
FC Anyang
K League 1
- L0-1away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC7 November 2026
- W2-1Bucheon FC 19951 November 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors24 October 2026
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC10 October 2026
Jeju United FC
K League 1
- D1-1Gwangju FC7 November 2026
- D1-1away to Pohang Steelers1 November 2026
- L1-3away to Incheon United24 October 2026
- L2-3away to Jeonbuk Motors18 October 2026
- L1-2away to FC Seoul10 October 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Anyang had two goals or fewer.
- Jeju United FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Jeju United FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Jeju United FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Anyang | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 46 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Anyang
Chance to finish top of the Championship Group · 26% today
Jeju United FC
Chance to finish top of the Championship Group · 69% today
From our K League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FC Anyang vs Jeju United FC
- 19 August 2026FC Anyang 2–1 Jeju United FCFA Cup
- 15 August 2026Jeju United FC 2–0 FC AnyangK League 1
- 17 May 2026Jeju United FC 1–2 FC AnyangK League 1
- 8 March 2026FC Anyang 2–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 8 November 2025Jeju United FC 1–2 FC AnyangK League 1
- 14 September 2025FC Anyang 2–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
Leading scorers: FC Anyang and Jeju United FC
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira44
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba62
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Jeju United FC the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.24 expected goals for FC Anyang against 1.32 for Jeju United FC. FC Anyang's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.39 for Jeju United FC.
How the model reaches 37% for Jeju United FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Jeju United FC to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, FC Anyang's ratings add 2 points and Jeju United FC's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 37%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage33%−3
- FC Anyang's ratings35%+2
- Jeju United FC's ratings37%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC Anyang at home · Jeju United FC away
League matches only, K League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All K League 1 matches this season: FC Anyang 35, Jeju United FC 35.
FC Anyang score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Jeju United FC have let in 9 there.
Jeju United FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (10 goals); FC Anyang have let in 9 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
Next match, by difficulty
FC Anyang
- vs Gwangju FC5 Dec · K League 1win 45%
Jeju United FC
- vs Bucheon FC 19955 Dec · K League 1win 49%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.