Tractor Sazi
vs
ZOB Ahan
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Tractor Sazi 1–0 ZOB Ahan
The model makes it 65% Tractor Sazi, 24% draw, 11% ZOB Ahan — fair odds of 1.54, 4.17 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (18%).
Expected goals: Tractor Sazi 1.83, ZOB Ahan 0.47.
Both teams to score: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, under 2.5: 60%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Tractor Sazi are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Tractor Sazi's rating is built from 31 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and ZOB Ahan's from 33, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Tractor Sazi are 3rd on 23 points from 11 games; ZOB Ahan are 14th on 10 points from 12 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Tractor Sazi are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Kheybar Khorramabad.
- ZOB Ahan have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Gol Gohar.
- Last 6 meetings: ZOB Ahan 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 9 December 2025, ended ZOB Ahan 0–0 Tractor Sazi.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Tractor Sazi vs ZOB Ahan
Has the model earned this number?
Tractor Sazi at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Tractor Sazi vs ZOB Ahan
Tractor Sazi
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W2-0Kheybar Khorramabad7 November 2026
- W3-0Sanat Naft22 October 2026
- D1-1Esteghlal FC8 October 2026
- L0-1away to Esteghlal Khuzestan10 September 2026
- W1-0Gol Gohar5 September 2026
ZOB Ahan
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D0-0away to Gol Gohar8 November 2026
- D0-0Esteghlal Khuzestan30 October 2026
- D0-0away to Aluminium Arak23 October 2026
- L1-2Chadormalu SC18 October 2026
- L1-2Sepahan FC13 October 2026
What these results say
- Tractor Sazi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Tractor Sazi had two goals or fewer.
- ZOB Ahan did not win any of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tractor Sazi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Tractor Sazi
Chance to finish in the top two · 63% today
ZOB Ahan
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 52% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Tractor Sazi vs ZOB Ahan
- 9 December 2025ZOB Ahan 0–0 Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 February 2025ZOB Ahan 0–1 Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League
- 13 September 2024Tractor Sazi 0–1 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 26 April 2024Tractor Sazi 1–1 ZOB AhanHazfi Cup
- 12 April 2024Tractor Sazi 1–4 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 27 October 2023ZOB Ahan 1–0 Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Tractor Sazi a 33.8% chance of the title and ZOB Ahan 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Tractor Sazi the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.83 expected goals for Tractor Sazi against 0.47 for ZOB Ahan. Tractor Sazi's attack/defence rating is 0.78/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.44 for ZOB Ahan.
How the model reaches 65% for Tractor Sazi to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Tractor Sazi to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 4 points, Tractor Sazi's ratings add 13 points and ZOB Ahan's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 65%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level40%−4
- Tractor Sazi's ratings53%+13
- ZOB Ahan's ratings65%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Tractor Sazi at home · ZOB Ahan away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Tractor Sazi 10, ZOB Ahan 12.
Tractor Sazi score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); ZOB Ahan have let in 3 there.
ZOB Ahan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Tractor Sazi have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Tractor Sazi
- at Foolad FC2 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 37%
- at Pakhtakor7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 58%
- at Fajr Sepasi12 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 50%
ZOB Ahan
- vs Esteghlal FC3 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 24%
- at Sanat Naft19 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 30%
- vs Kheybar Khorramabad24 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 36%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.