Trabzonspor
vs
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Trabzonspor 2–0 Gaziantep FK
The model makes it 67% Trabzonspor, 20% draw, 13% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 1.49, 5.00 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Trabzonspor 2.49, Gaziantep FK 0.84.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Trabzonspor are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Trabzonspor are 5th on 13 points from 7 games; Gaziantep FK are 13th on 8 points from 7 games — Süper Lig.
- Trabzonspor have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Samsunspor.
- Gaziantep FK are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Çorum FK.
- Last 6 meetings: Trabzonspor 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 22 February 2026, ended Gaziantep FK 1–2 Trabzonspor.
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Trabzonspor at 67% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 332 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.9%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
- W3-0away to Samsunspor10 October 2026
- W4-0Galatasaray19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Konyaspor12 September 2026
- W5-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Amed31 August 2026
Gaziantep FK
- L0-3Çorum FK11 October 2026
- L0-2away to Kocaelispor19 September 2026
- D0-0Fenerbahçe14 September 2026
- W4-2away to Göztepe7 September 2026
- L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026
What these results say
- Trabzonspor scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Trabzonspor had three goals or more.
- Gaziantep FK failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gaziantep FK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 13 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
- 22 February 2026Gaziantep FK 1–2 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 20 September 2025Trabzonspor 1–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 23 February 2025Trabzonspor 3–2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 23 September 2024Gaziantep FK 0–0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 28 April 2024Trabzonspor 4–2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 10 December 2023Gaziantep FK 1–3 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Salah73
- E. Muçi22
Gaziantep FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Trabzonspor carry a model rating of 6.92 against 6.5 for Gaziantep FK. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.49 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.84 for Gaziantep FK. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Trabzonspor rate 1.10 in attack and 0.95 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gaziantep FK rate 0.68 and 1.37.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Trabzonspor a 10.3% chance of the title and Gaziantep FK 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Trabzonspor the highest probability at 67%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.49 expected goals for Trabzonspor against 0.84 for Gaziantep FK. Trabzonspor's attack/defence rating is 1.1/0.95 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.37 for Gaziantep FK.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Trabzonspor at home · Gaziantep FK away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
TrabzonsporGaziantep FK
Trabzonspor are 3rd after 7 Süper Lig matches (between 3rd and 10th so far); Gaziantep FK are 12th after 7 (between 3rd and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Trabzonspor 7, Gaziantep FK 7.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Trabzonspor
- vs SC Freiburg5 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 42%
- at Alanyaspor8 Nov · Süper Ligwin 45%
Gaziantep FK
- vs Kasımpaşa6 Nov · Süper Ligwin 36%
- at Gençlerbirliği S.K.21 Nov · Süper Ligwin 31%
- vs Amed28 Nov · Süper Ligwin 25%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.