Amed
vs
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Amed 3–0 Eyüpspor
The model makes it 77% Amed, 15% draw, 8% Eyüpspor — fair odds of 1.30, 6.67 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0 (10%).
Expected goals: Amed 3.13, Eyüpspor 0.79.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%, under 2.5: 25%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Amed are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Amed are 2nd on 17 points from 8 games; Eyüpspor are bottom on 3 points from 8 games — Süper Lig.
- Amed are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 1-0 win at home to Konyaspor.
- Eyüpspor have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Erzurumspor FK.
- Last 2 meetings: Eyüpspor 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 23 March 2019, ended Eyüpspor 3–1 Amed.
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Amed vs Eyüpspor
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Amed at 77% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 332 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.9%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Amed vs Eyüpspor
Amed
- W1-0Konyaspor17 October 2026
- D2-2away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.10 October 2026
- W3-2Beşiktaş20 September 2026
- W5-0Başakşehir13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Kasımpaşa6 September 2026
Eyüpspor
- L0-2away to Erzurumspor FK17 October 2026
- L0-4Göztepe12 October 2026
- L0-8away to Fenerbahçe20 September 2026
- L0-2Rizespor12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Çorum FK6 September 2026
What these results say
- Amed went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Amed scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Amed had three goals or more.
- Eyüpspor did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Eyüpspor failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
- Eyüpspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 17 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Amed vs Eyüpspor
- 23 March 2019Eyüpspor 3–1 Amed2. Lig
- 4 November 2018Amed 1–1 Eyüpspor2. Lig
Leading scorers: Amed and Eyüpspor
Amed
GoalsAssists
- G. Orban72
- D. Sabia41
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Amed carry a model rating of 6.86 against 6.28 for Eyüpspor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.13 goals for Amed and 0.79 for Eyüpspor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Amed rate 1.16 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eyüpspor rate 0.52 and 1.63.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Amed a 7.2% chance of the title and Eyüpspor 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Amed the highest probability at 77%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.13 expected goals for Amed against 0.79 for Eyüpspor. Amed's attack/defence rating is 1.16/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/1.63 for Eyüpspor.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Amed at home · Eyüpspor away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
AmedEyüpspor
Amed are 2nd after 8 Süper Lig matches (between 1st and 9th so far); Eyüpspor are 18th after 8 (between 14th and 18th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Amed 8, Eyüpspor 8.
Amed score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Eyüpspor have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Amed
- at Galatasaray7 Nov · Süper Ligwin 25%
- vs Rizespor21 Nov · Süper Ligwin 61%
- at Gaziantep FK28 Nov · Süper Ligwin 51%
- vs Alanyaspor5 Dec · Süper Ligwin 56%
Eyüpspor
- vs Kocaelispor7 Nov · Süper Ligwin 24%
- at Trabzonspor22 Nov · Süper Ligwin 7%
- vs Başakşehir29 Nov · Süper Ligwin 17%
- at Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 Dec · Süper Ligwin 21%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.