Regular Season - 11 · 27 November 2026, 17:30 UTC

Stellenbosch vs TS Galaxy Premier Soccer League prediction

Danie Craven Stadium, Stellenbosch

Our model says: Stellenbosch 1–0 TS Galaxy

The model makes it 44% Stellenbosch, 32% draw, 24% TS Galaxy — fair odds of 2.27, 3.13 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).

Expected goals: Stellenbosch 1.22, TS Galaxy 0.75.

Both teams to score: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 31%, under 2.5: 69%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,921 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Stellenbosch's rating is built from 39 South African Premier Soccer League matches and TS Galaxy's from 39, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 546 matches.

Key facts

  • Stellenbosch are 8th on 10 points from 9 games; TS Galaxy are 12th on 7 points from 9 games — Premier Soccer League.
  • Stellenbosch have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Chippa United.
  • TS Galaxy have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Polokwane City.
  • Last 6 meetings: Stellenbosch 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 13 March 2026, ended Stellenbosch 1–1 TS Galaxy.

More South African Premier Soccer League predictions, then other matches

All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Stellenbosch vs TS Galaxy

38%
Both teams to score
31%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Stellenbosch win Draw TS Galaxy win
  1. 1–016%
  2. 0–015%
  3. 1–113%
  4. 2–010%
  5. 0–110%
  6. 2–18%
  7. 1–25%

Scores read Stellenbosch first; the other scorelines share the remaining 23%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Stellenbosch at 44%: of 2,926 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Stellenbosch vs TS Galaxy

Stellenbosch

Premier Soccer League

  • L0-2Chippa United31 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Kaizer Chiefs13 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Kruger United19 September 2026
  • D1-1Sekhukhune United11 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Durban City1 September 2026

TS Galaxy

Premier Soccer League

  • D0-0away to Polokwane City31 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Orlando Pirates13 October 2026
  • L0-1Chippa United20 September 2026
  • L0-1Kruger United13 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Sekhukhune United5 September 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for Stellenbosch had two goals or fewer.
  • Stellenbosch failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • TS Galaxy did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • TS Galaxy failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for TS Galaxy had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Stellenbosch9243910-110
12TS Galaxy9144712-57

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Stellenbosch vs TS Galaxy

  • 13 March 2026Stellenbosch 1–1 TS GalaxyPremier Soccer League
  • 2 November 2025TS Galaxy 2–0 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
  • 18 February 2025TS Galaxy 2–3 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
  • 6 November 2024Stellenbosch 1–1 TS GalaxyPremier Soccer League
  • 4 August 2024Stellenbosch 3–1 TS Galaxy8 Cup
  • 21 April 2024TS Galaxy 1–2 StellenboschPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Stellenbosch and TS Galaxy

Stellenbosch

GoalsAssists

  • Q. Plaatjies30

TS Galaxy

GoalsAssists

  • V. Letsoalo40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Stellenbosch TS Galaxy
0.54 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.48
1.64 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.86
1.22 Model expected goals (this match) 0.75

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Stellenbosch the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.22 expected goals for Stellenbosch against 0.75 for TS Galaxy. Stellenbosch's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.86 for TS Galaxy.

How the model reaches 44% for Stellenbosch to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Stellenbosch to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Stellenbosch's ratings add 3 points and TS Galaxy's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 44%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground35%
  2. Home advantage40%+5
  3. Both sides at this match's level39%−1
  4. Stellenbosch's ratings42%+3
  5. TS Galaxy's ratings44%+2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

StellenboschTS Galaxy
9Matches9
2W 4D 3LRecord1W 4D 4L
9 1.0 per gameGoals scored7 0.8 per game
10 1.1 per gameGoals conceded12 1.3 per game
2 of 9Clean sheets3 of 9
4 of 9Failed to score6 of 9
–Penalties scored2 of 2
22 2.4 per gameYellow cards14 1.6 per game
0Red cards2
4-1-4-1 6×Usual shape3-5-2 1×

Stellenbosch at home · TS Galaxy away

4Played5
1W 1D 2LRecord1W 3D 1L
4–5Goals for – against5–7
0 of 4Clean sheets2 of 5

League matches only, Premier Soccer League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Premier Soccer League matches this season: Stellenbosch 9, TS Galaxy 9.

Stellenbosch scored 130301
TS Galaxy conceded 220234
TS Galaxy scored 011310
Stellenbosch conceded 020243

TS Galaxy score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Stellenbosch have let in 2 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Stellenbosch

  • at Orlando Pirates5 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 10%
  • vs Milford FC15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 30%
  • vs Mamelodi Sundowns18 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 25%
  • at Siwelele10 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 31%

TS Galaxy

  • vs Richards Bay6 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 43%
  • at Kaizer Chiefs15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 17%
  • vs Milford FC20 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 26%
  • at Amazulu10 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 18%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.