TS Galaxy
vs
Durban City
Premier Soccer League prediction
Our model says: TS Galaxy 0–0 Durban City
The model makes it 33% TS Galaxy, 34% draw, 33% Durban City — fair odds of 3.03, 2.94 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0 (17%).
Expected goals: TS Galaxy 0.91, Durban City 0.89.
Both teams to score: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%, under 2.5: 73%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 930 settled matches.
A tight game: TS Galaxy and Durban City are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 21 October 2026. TS Galaxy's rating is built from 38 South African Premier Soccer League matches and Durban City's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 538 matches.
Key facts
- TS Galaxy are 13th on 6 points from 8 games; Durban City are 10th on 7 points from 8 games — Premier Soccer League.
- TS Galaxy are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Orlando Pirates.
- Durban City are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Amazulu.
- Last 4 meetings: Durban City 4 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 2 May 2026, ended Durban City 2–1 TS Galaxy.
More South African Premier Soccer League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: TS Galaxy vs Durban City
Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 34% here. Across 4,371 settled matches (as of 21 October 2026), 3,397 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into TS Galaxy vs Durban City
TS Galaxy
- L0-3away to Orlando Pirates13 October 2026
- L0-1Chippa United20 September 2026
- L0-1Kruger United13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sekhukhune United5 September 2026
- W3-2away to Marumo Gallants25 August 2026
Durban City
- L1-2Amazulu13 October 2026
- D1-1away to Milford FC20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Orlando Pirates17 September 2026
- D0-0Stellenbosch1 September 2026
- W2-0away to Kruger United25 August 2026
What these results say
- TS Galaxy failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- TS Galaxy failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- TS Galaxy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Durban City failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Durban City had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: TS Galaxy vs Durban City
- 2 May 2026Durban City 2–1 TS GalaxyCup
- 13 February 2026Durban City 2–0 TS GalaxyPremier Soccer League
- 10 August 2025TS Galaxy 0–2 Durban CityPremier Soccer League
- 14 February 2025Durban City 2–1 TS GalaxyCup
Leading scorers: TS Galaxy and Durban City
TS Galaxy
GoalsAssists
- V. Letsoalo40
Durban City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
TS Galaxy carry a model rating of 6.17 against 6.29 for Durban City. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.91 goals for TS Galaxy and 0.89 for Durban City. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
TS Galaxy rate 0.51 in attack and 2.00 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Durban City rate 0.47 and 1.49.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,110 correct results out of 4,378 settled predictions (48%), with 443 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives a draw the highest probability at 34%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.91 expected goals for TS Galaxy against 0.89 for Durban City. TS Galaxy's attack/defence rating is 0.51/2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.49 for Durban City.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
TS Galaxy at home · Durban City away
League matches only, Premier Soccer League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier Soccer League matches this season: TS Galaxy 8, Durban City 8.
TS Galaxy score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Durban City have let in 2 there.
Durban City score most often in the 46–60 minute window (2 goals); TS Galaxy have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
TS Galaxy
- at Stellenbosch27 Nov · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 22%
- vs Richards Bay6 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 42%
- at Kaizer Chiefs15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 17%
- vs Milford FC20 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 27%
Durban City
- vs Polokwane City27 Nov · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 37%
- at Siwelele6 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 29%
- vs Marumo Gallants15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 45%
- vs Chippa United20 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.