Al Kholood
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Kholood 1–2 Al Khaleej Saihat
The model makes it 36% Al Kholood, 25% draw, 39% Al Khaleej Saihat — fair odds of 2.78, 4.00 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Al Kholood 1.70, Al Khaleej Saihat 1.80.
Both teams to score: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,308 settled matches.
A tight game: Al Kholood and Al Khaleej Saihat are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Al Kholood's rating is built from 45 Saudi Pro League matches and Al Khaleej Saihat's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 716 matches.
Key facts
- Al Kholood are 11th on 12 points from 11 games; Al Khaleej Saihat are 9th on 15 points from 12 games — Pro League.
- Al Kholood have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-5 defeat away to Al-Nassr.
- Al Khaleej Saihat have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win at home to Al-Hazm.
- Last 6 meetings: Al Kholood 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 3 April 2026, ended Al Kholood 2–2 Al Khaleej Saihat.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Has the model earned this number?
Al Khaleej Saihat at 39%: of 4,766 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Kholood
Pro League
- L3-5away to Al-Nassr29 October 2026
- L0-3Al-Ettifaq24 October 2026
- L2-3away to Al-Faisaly FC15 October 2026
- L0-5Al-Qadisiyah FC9 October 2026
- L0-2away to Al Riyadh13 September 2026
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
- W4-2Al-Hazm29 October 2026
- L1-4away to Al-Ahli Jeddah23 October 2026
- W3-2away to Al-Fateh18 October 2026
- W2-0Al-Fayha15 October 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Ettifaq10 October 2026
What these results say
- Al Kholood did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Al Kholood conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al Kholood had three goals or more.
- Al Khaleej Saihat scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Khaleej Saihat conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Al Khaleej Saihat.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Al Kholood
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 17% today
Al Khaleej Saihat
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 5% today
From our Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat
- 3 April 2026Al Kholood 2–2 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 24 February 2026Al Khaleej Saihat 2–3 Al KholoodPro League
- 28 November 2025Al Kholood 4–3 Al Khaleej SaihatKing's Cup
- 1 March 2025Al Kholood 2–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 4 October 2024Al Khaleej Saihat 1–0 Al KholoodPro League
- 14 February 2022Al Kholood 1–1 Al Khaleej SaihatDivision 1
Leading scorers: Al Kholood and Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Kholood
GoalsAssists
- J. Domingues63
Al Khaleej Saihat
GoalsAssists
- J. King50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
How the call on Al Kholood v Al Khaleej Saihat has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 38% / 26% / 36% (home / draw / away). After 3 updates it reads 36% / 25% / 39%: the biggest move is Al Khaleej Saihat's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Al Kholood win36%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −1
- Al Khaleej Saihat win39%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Khaleej Saihat the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.70 expected goals for Al Kholood against 1.80 for Al Khaleej Saihat. Al Kholood's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.52 for Al Khaleej Saihat.
How the model reaches 39% for Al Khaleej Saihat to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al Khaleej Saihat to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Al Kholood's ratings add 3 points and Al Khaleej Saihat's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage34%−3
- Al Kholood's ratings37%+3
- Al Khaleej Saihat's ratings39%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al Kholood at home · Al Khaleej Saihat away
League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Kholood 11, Al Khaleej Saihat 12.
Al Kholood score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Al Khaleej Saihat have let in 2 there.
Al Khaleej Saihat score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Al Kholood have let in 7 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al Kholood
- at NEOM4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 21%
- at Abha7 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- vs Al-Hilal11 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 10%
- at Al-Fateh16 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- vs Al-Hazm31 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 37%
Al Khaleej Saihat
- vs Al-Ittihad4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 26%
- at Al-Faisaly FC10 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 38%
- vs Al Diriyah18 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Al-Qadisiyah FC2 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Al Taawon8 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 42%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.