South African Premier Soccer League predictions

6 matches ahead, from 16 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Mamelodi Sundowns, 51% against Richards Bay. 1 is marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Friday 16 October — 1 match

17:30 UTC Durban City vs Amazulu — model 32% / 34% / 34%, most likely 0-0, fair odds 3.13 · 2.94 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

13:30 UTC Golden Arrows vs Milford FC — model 34% / 36% / 30%, most likely 0-0, fair odds 2.94 · 2.78 · 3.33.
13:30 UTC Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch — model 44% / 31% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.23 · 4.00.
13:30 UTC Chippa United vs Kruger United — model 43% / 32% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.13 · 4.00.
16:00 UTC Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants — model 47% / 31% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.23 · 4.55.
18:15 UTC Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — model 23% / 26% / 51%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 3.85 · 1.96.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

17–20 September: the model called the result of 4 of 8 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

Orlando Pirates 2–0 Durban City — the model said 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Richards Bay 2–3 Sekhukhune United — the model said 33% / 29% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Polokwane City 0–1 Amazulu — the model said 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
Kruger United 0–1 Stellenbosch — the model said 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Golden Arrows 0–0 Kaizer Chiefs — the model said 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Milford FC 1–1 Durban City — the model said 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Marumo Gallants 0–2 Orlando Pirates — the model said 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
TS Galaxy 0–1 Chippa United — the model said 37% / 32% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result missed.