Sport Huancayo
vs
Universitario
Primera División prediction
Our model says: Sport Huancayo 1–2 Universitario
The model makes it 35% Sport Huancayo, 27% draw, 38% Universitario — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Sport Huancayo 1.47, Universitario 1.54.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 1,094 settled matches.
A tight game: Sport Huancayo and Universitario are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 31 October 2026. Sport Huancayo's rating is built from 66 Primera División (Peru) matches and Universitario's from 65, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Sport Huancayo are 10th on 44 points from 31 games; Universitario are 2nd on 56 points from 30 games — Primera División, Primera Division: Tabla Anual.
- Sport Huancayo have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Juan Pablo II College.
- Universitario are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Juan Pablo II College.
- Last 6 meetings: Universitario 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 31 May 2026, ended Universitario 2–1 Sport Huancayo.
More Primera División (Peru) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sport Huancayo vs Universitario
Has the model earned this number?
Universitario at 38%: of 3,980 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.7% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sport Huancayo vs Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Primera División
- L0-2away to Juan Pablo II College27 October 2026
- W4-1Alianza Atletico24 October 2026
- W2-1Cusco16 October 2026
- W1-0away to Deportivo Garcilaso10 October 2026
- W3-2UTC Cajamarca20 September 2026
Universitario
Primera División
- W3-0Juan Pablo II College25 October 2026
- W4-1away to Alianza Atletico18 October 2026
- D2-2FBC Melgar11 October 2026
- L0-4away to Deportivo Garcilaso19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Alianza Lima13 September 2026
What these results say
- Sport Huancayo won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sport Huancayo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sport Huancayo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Universitario had three goals or more.
- Universitario scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Universitario conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 44 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 34 | +18 | 56 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Sport Huancayo vs Universitario
- 31 May 2026Universitario 2–1 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
- 17 August 2025Sport Huancayo 1–1 UniversitarioPrimera División
- 29 March 2025Universitario 3–1 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
- 11 August 2024Sport Huancayo 1–1 UniversitarioPrimera División
- 2 March 2024Universitario 2–0 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
- 29 October 2023Universitario 2–0 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
Leading scorers: Sport Huancayo and Universitario
Sport Huancayo
GoalsAssists
- Javier Andrés Sanguinetti84
Universitario
GoalsAssists
- A. Valera172
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The two sides
Sport Huancayo carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.54 for Universitario.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.47 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.54 for Universitario.
Sport Huancayo rate 0.64 in attack and 1.68 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Universitario rate 0.76 and 1.41.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sport Huancayo a 0% chance of the title and Universitario 0.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitario the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Sport Huancayo against 1.54 for Universitario. Sport Huancayo's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.41 for Universitario.
How the model reaches 38% for Universitario to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Universitario to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Sport Huancayo's ratings add 4 points and Universitario's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Sport Huancayo's ratings33%+4
- Universitario's ratings38%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sport Huancayo at home · Universitario away
League matches only, Primera División, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Primera División matches this season: Sport Huancayo 31, Universitario 30.
Sport Huancayo score most often in the 31–45 minute window (13 goals); Universitario have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.