Sonderjyske
vs
Brondby
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Sonderjyske 1–2 Brondby
The model makes it 30% Sonderjyske, 25% draw, 45% Brondby — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Sonderjyske 1.44, Brondby 1.86.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,921 settled matches.
Edge to Brondby: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Sonderjyske's rating is built from 46 Danish Superliga matches and Brondby's from 47, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- Sonderjyske are bottom on 9 points from 14 games; Brondby are 5th on 22 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- Sonderjyske are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to FC Midtjylland.
- Brondby have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to FC Copenhagen.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 17 August 2026, ended Brondby 3–2 Sonderjyske.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sonderjyske vs Brondby
Has the model earned this number?
Brondby at 45%: of 2,926 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sonderjyske vs Brondby
Sonderjyske
Superliga
- D2-2away to FC Midtjylland8 November 2026
- L0-2FC Copenhagen2 November 2026
- L1-5away to AC Horsens25 October 2026
- W4-0Silkeborg18 October 2026
- L0-3away to Aarhus12 October 2026
Brondby
Superliga
- L0-1away to FC Copenhagen8 November 2026
- W2-0Aarhus1 November 2026
- W3-1away to Randers FC23 October 2026
- L1-2away to Odense18 October 2026
- W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026
What these results say
- Sonderjyske failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sonderjyske conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sonderjyske had three goals or more.
- Brondby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brondby conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 9 |
| 5 | Brondby | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs Brondby
- 17 August 2026Brondby 3–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 26 April 2026Sonderjyske 3–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 17 April 2026Brondby 6–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 23 February 2026Brondby 0–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 24 August 2025Sonderjyske 2–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 24 November 2024Sonderjyske 2–2 BrondbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and Brondby
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
- O. Hyseni43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sonderjyske a 0% chance of the title and Brondby 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brondby the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.44 expected goals for Sonderjyske against 1.86 for Brondby. Sonderjyske's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.17 for Brondby.
How the model reaches 45% for Brondby to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Brondby to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Sonderjyske's ratings add 6 points and Brondby's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage33%−4
- Sonderjyske's ratings39%+6
- Brondby's ratings45%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sonderjyske at home · Brondby away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
SonderjyskeBrondby
Sonderjyske are 12th after 14 Superliga matches (between 11th and 12th so far); Brondby are 5th after 14 (between 1st and 5th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Sonderjyske 14, Brondby 14.
Sonderjyske score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Brondby have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Sonderjyske
- at Viborg7 Dec · Superligawin 21%
- vs Aarhus21 Feb · Superligawin 28%
- at Randers FC28 Feb · Superligawin 39%
- at FC Nordsjaelland7 Mar · Superligawin 19%
Brondby
- vs Odense6 Dec · Superligawin 46%
- at Lyngby21 Feb · Superligawin 46%
- vs FC Nordsjaelland28 Feb · Superligawin 37%
- at Silkeborg7 Mar · Superligawin 45%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.